Everyone here and elsewhere is suggesting that the democratic nomination election will likely continue on after super tuesday. I find that to be a highly unlikely scenario. How do I come to this conclusion? Call it the "undecided break" theory.
It's a theory that gets talked about in the general, but for some reason no one is talking about during the primary. This is in spite of the fact that we've seen this phenomonen play out in the early primaries. The theory basically goes that at the last minute, the undecided voters will break disproportionately for one candidate or the other.
We saw it happen in Hew Hampshire where they broke for Hillary.
We saw it happen in South Carolina and Florida where they broke for Obama.
We saw it happen in Michigan where they broke for "uncommited".
I'm leaving out the caucus states since "viability" tends to distort the results. However, if you look there is some evidence that it may have happened.
Join me on the flip for the number proof.
Read More