I just emailed Marist for the complete report on their New Hampshire poll released today. Here are the numbers:
| 11/03 Likely Voters w/ Leaners
| | 11/03 Total w/ Leaners
| | | 11/03 Total
Candidate | | | | 9/03 Total
-------------------------------
Dean | 44 | 40 | 39 | 35 |
Kerry | 23 | 25 | 23 | 22 |
Edwards | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
Lieberman | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Gephardt | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
Clark | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
Kucinich | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sharpton | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Braun | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1 |
Other | NA | NA | NA | 1 |
Undecided | 7 | 9 | 14 | 15 |
Lots more polling goodness below...
Here are the numbers broken down socio-economically:
Total w/ |
Leaners | De | Ke | Ed | Li | Ge | Cl |
----------|------------------------------
Democrats | 38 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Independe | 44 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Walk-ups | 28 | 39 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
Liberal | 50 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Moderate | 38 | 27 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
Conservat | 31 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Men | 39 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
Women | 41 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
No Colleg | 35 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
College | 47 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
<$50,000 | 38 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
>$50,000 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Age 18-44 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
Age 45+ | 42 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Internet | 43 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Work MA | 34 | 27 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 |
Union | 40 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Veterans | 38 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Here's the intensity of support:
| Strongly Support
| | Somewhat Support
| | | Might Vote Differently
| | | | Unsure
-----------------------------------
November 03 | | | | |
Likely Voters | 46 | 32 | 21 | 1 |
Dean | 54 | 31 | 14 | 1 |
Kerry | 38 | 38 | 23 | 1 |
Total Voters | 36 | 35 | 27 | 2 |
Dean | 45 | 33 | 20 | 2 |
Kerry | 31 | 38 | 29 | 2 |
September 03 | | | | |
Total | 31 | 36 | 32 | 1 |
Here are people's second choices:
| 11/03 Likely Voters
Candidate | | 11/03 Total
---------------------
Kerry | 23 | 22 |
Dean | 20 | 20 |
Clark | 11 | 11 |
Lieberman | 10 | 11 |
Edwards | 10 | 9 |
Gephardt | 10 | 10 |
Kucinich | 3 | 3 |
Sharpton | 1 | 1 |
Braun | 1 | 1 |
Undecided | 11 | 12 |
Are candidates spending more time talking about the issues or attacking each other?
| Talking about issues
Total | | Attacking each other
-----------------------
November | 54 | 39 |
How closely are you following the campaign?
| Very Closely
| | Closely
| | | Not Very Closely
November | | | | Not at all
-----------------------------------
Total | 15 | 50 | 33 | 2 |
Likely Voters | 22 | 58 | 20 | <1 |
Have you personally seen or met any of the candidates?
November | Yes | No |
---------------------
Total | 19 | 81 |
Likely | 24 | 76 |
Which characteristic is most important to you when selecting a candidate?
| Tot | De | Ke | Oth | Uns |
------------------------------------------------
Close to my issues | 25 | 42 | 22 | 25 | 11 |
Can beat Bush | 21 | 49 | 25 | 22 | 4 |
Shares my values | 20 | 38 | 22 | 30 | 10 |
Stands for beliefs | 18 | 38 | 30 | 27 | 5 |
Has experience | 8 | 25 | 36 | 26 | 13 |
Not typical pol | 6 | 49 | 23 | 25 | 3 |
Unsure | 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Which issue do you most want to hear about?
| Nov | Sep |
------------------------------------
Domestic (Health, Ed.) | 49 | 42 |
Economy | 27 | 35 |
Iraq | 13 | 10 |
Homeland Security | 5 | 5 |
War on Terror | 4 | 5 |
Unsure | 2 | 3 |
Are you more concerned about the war on terrorism, or jobs and the economy?
| War | Jobs | Unsure |
--------------------------------
Nov 2003 | 23 | 75 | 2 |
Sep 2003 | 23 | 75 | 2 |
Dec 2002 | 39 | 59 | 2 |
Are you more likely to vote for someone who supported or opposed the Iraq war?
| Tot | Dean | Kerry | Others | Und. |
------------------------------------------------
Supported | 35 | 28 | 34 | 33 | 5 |
Opposed | 56 | 51 | 20 | 20 | 9 |
Are you more likely to vote for someone who supported or opposed the $78 billion for Iraq?
| Tot | Dean | Kerry | Others | Und. |
------------------------------------------------
Supported | 29 | 34 | 26 | 34 | 6 |
Opposed | 63 | 43 | 25 | 24 | 8 |
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bush is doing?
Total | App | Dis | Unsure |
----------------------------
Nov | 19 | 77 | 4 |
Dem | 17 | 78 | 5 |
Ind | 22 | 75 | 3 |
Sep | 21 | 75 | 4 |
Dem | 19 | 78 | 3 |
Ind | 24 | 71 | 5 |
Fine print:
This survey was conducted on November 11th through November 13th, 2003. 711 registered Democrats, Independents who expressed an interest in voting in the Democratic presidential primary, and New Hampshire residents who are likely to register as Democrats or Independents in order to vote in the Democratic primary were interviewed. The sample was selected in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New Hampshire and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. The results are statistically significant at ±4% for the entire sample. There are 447 likely voters. The results for this sub-sample are statistically significant at ±5%. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.