I would like to ask why do you think any of the candidates will drop out. It seems to me that with so many candidates and proportional representation, that a candidate can accumulate delegates and then hope for a convention in which no one has enough committed delegates to win the nomination outright. At that point he/she might win the nomination by negotiation.
I would like to ask why do you think any of the candidates will drop out. It seems to me that with so many candidates and proportional representation, that a candidate can accumulate delegates and then hope for a convention in which no one has enough committed delegates to win the nomination outright. At that point he/she might win the nomination by negotiation.
A dangerous assumption perhaps, and unlikely given past history. But not a bad strategy for candidates not named Howard Dean.
There are two keys to this. One is frugality with money. If a candidate decides he/she cannot win NH or Iowa, will they save enough money to last out the primary season? The other is deciding that it will be impossible to win outright, but that there is a chance that this strategy would be viable.
Another scenario that might play out similarly, if a candidate is planning to win the nomination outright after deciding that NH and Iowa are not worth seriously contesting. Lieberman, perhaps.
What will the consequences of these scenarios be?
Do you think any of the candidates will try this?