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From the diaries -- kos)
Given all the gnashing of teeth about each state poll, I decided to look back into the archives and see what the last pre-election state polls looked like on election eve 2000 (courtesy of the Hotline):
Bush had leads outside the MOE in 22 states for 174 EVs, with 10 states/114 EVs for Gore.
Including leads within the MOE, Bush led in 28 states with 243 EVs and Gore led in 16 states with 262 EVs.
See below for some interesting and not so interesting tidbits:
First, the interesting:
Arizona: Last poll showed Bush up by 10 points, outside the margin of error. Bush won by 6.
Arkansas: The last three, concurrent, polls showed a tie, Bush by 1 and Bush by 3, respectively. Bush won by 6.
California: Also three polls, showing Gore up only by 3, 5 and 7, respectively. Gore won by roughly 12.
Delaware: Last poll had Bush up by 4. Gore won by 13. Great poll, guys.
Florida: The last poll, Zogby's, showed Gore up 3. Well, you know what happened.
Iowa: Two last polls showed Gore up by 1 and 2 points, respectively. Gore won by a hair.
Maine: Last poll showed a 42-42 tie. Gore won by 5.
Michigan: Last poll showed Gore up by 7, but still within the margin of error. Gore won by 4.
Missouri: A split. Of the two last polls, one showed Gore up 1 point and the other showed Bush up 4. Bush won by 4.
Nevada: Last poll had Bush up by 4. Bush won by 3.
New Hampshire: Last poll had Bush up big, by 10. Bush only won by a hair.
New Mexico: Two last polls showed a tie and Bush up by 3, respectively. Gore won narrowly.
Ohio: Two last polls, one by Zogby (who was right on nationally), showed Bush up by 9 and 10, both outside the margin of error. Gore lost by 4.
Oregon: A split. Last two polls showed Gore up by 1 and down by 4, respectively. Gore won by a fraction of a percent.
Pennsylvania: Last poll showed Gore up by 2. Gore won by 4.
Tennessee: The writing was on the wall. Two last polls showed Bush up by 4. Bush won by 3.
Virginia: Last poll showed Bush up by 6. Bush won by 7.
Washington: Last poll showed Gore up by 4. He won by 5.
West Virginia: Of three last polls, two showed Bush up by 10 points, and one had Bush up only by 2. Bush won by 6.
Wisconsin: Last poll showed Bush up by 2. Gore won by a hair.
Less interesting:
Polls showed Bush way ahead in Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah and Wyoming.
Gore was way ahead in Connecticut, DC, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, and Vermont.