I know that many here believe he's a right-wing shill, but here is his analysis of the vulnerable Senators for 2006. I'm that worried about Nelson and Stabenow - but should I be?
Your thoughts?
Finally, the following senators begin the election cycle as vulnerable, though we caution that even many vulnerable senators win reelection in the end:
FL- Bill Nelson (D): The GOP tide in the Sunshine State cannot be ignored.
MI- Debbie Stabenow (D): This back-bencher had the party label advantage but she can expect strong opposition for the GOP.
MN-Mark Dayton (D): Closing down his Senate office this fall because of a perceived terrorist threat, when the other 99 senators kept their offices open, has made an already vulnerable senator highly vulnerable, especially from Republican Congressman Mark Kennedy.
NE-Ben Nelson (D): Narrowly elected in 2000, Nelson faces popular GOP Governor Mike Johanns in a heavily Republican state.
ND-Kent Conrad (D): This is probably a long shot for the GOP, but how long is North Dakota, a strong Republican state, going to send three Democrats to Congress when the Republicans have strong majorities in both houses?
PA-Rick Santorum (R): Santorum has two election victories under his belt, but he is more conservative than this moderate, two-party state, where statewide contests are usually quite competitive.
RI-Lincoln Chafee (R): Only switching parties will make Chafee truly secure in this overwhelmingly Democratic state, and that explains Chafee's vote for George H.W. Bush for president in 2004.
VA-George Allen (R): Should Democratic Governor Mark Warner choose to run for the Senate as his term ends in the statehouse, Allen will be in for an extremely expensive and very tough contest.
WA-Maria Cantwell (D): Barely elected to a first term in 2000, Cantwell has to sweat this one, even in a strongly Democratic state. Should Dino Rossi--locked in a too-close-to-call Governor's election at the moment--end up losing narrowly, he would make an ideal Republican candidate to challenge Cantwell.