You heard it here first. No, I don't have any scientific data to back it up.
But "Never let 'em see you sweat" is a concept the Bushies just don't understand. Reagan got it, as did Clinton. Nixon didn't, nor did Ford, Carter, or Poppy. Kerry seems to have the swagger to pull it off. Gee Dubya and Co. don't. They are the ultimate thugs but they're amateur poseurs.
But given that we've got Bush Lite-Lite foreign policy proposals from Kerry and a Genuine Bush Lite foreign policy from Edwards, I'm not exactly thrilled about it. I'm still not sure why so many "antiwar liberals" are so crazy about Johnny E.