A new
poll from AP shows Bush ahead of Kerry 49% to 45% with 3% going for Nader. The poll has a margin of error of 3.5%.
The three day survey of registered voters credits the growing economy and no apparent bad news about Iraq recently as the reasons for the increased lead for Bush.
However, Kerry's choice of Edward's for veep has helped strengthen Kerry's lead among southern and low-income voters which has risen since last month according to the poll.
The reality with all these polls though, is that they do not matter very much because as we all know, presidents are not elected through popular vote, but through the electoral college.
What we really need to pay attention to is not these big polls showing who the nation supports, but the state-by-state polls that will actually decide the election.
Fortunately for Kerry, the latest over at the great electoral-vote.com that tracks state polls shows that if the election were held today, Kerry would be leading Bush 291 electoral votes to 247.
In other words, Kerry would be winning, regardless of what any national poll says.