I'm surpirsed that it already this close! Take a look at new poll
results for Lynch and McEachern
Benson 43
Lynch 41
Und 16
Benson 43
McEachern 36
Und 21
moe claimed at 2.5 but they only polled 400 people.
In any case, it looks like Benson has a base of 43 or so. And Lynch could easily put the state in play (McEachern, with some extra name recognition, could also be in contention).
Great quote (for Dems):
But among the conclusions this poll found was that an eroding of Benson's popularity since the last poll was taken. Registered Republicans and independents have changed their minds the most about Benson. Since the last Becker Poll in November Benson's unfavorable rating went up 11 percent among Republicans, from 14 to 25 percent.
Ouch! a quarter disapproval from your own party.