For the first time in its polling, Survey USA is finding
Ben Cardin eking out a lead over Michael Steele.
Ben Cardin (D) - 49% (47%)
Michael Steele (R) - 46% (47%)
Kevin Zeese (G) - 3% (3%)
Survey USA has produced outlier polls throughout the race, showing Cardin and Steele constantly tied - at one point Steele up by one - while other polls showed a Cardin lead that shrank from double to single digits. Factor in that Zeese, like most Greens, has no ground team and will be lucky to break 1% of the vote, and you've got to wonder if Steele stalled out late last week. Maybe Bill Clinton and Barack Obama's appearences have brought a few Democrats back home. I've been hearing that Steele's internals, while very strong, haven't shown movement for him since the PG county endorsements. That seems correct.
The poll also shows Martin O'Malley regaining some ground over Bob Ehrlich in the governer's race, bumping from a 48-47 tie to a 50-47 lead.