Second wave of exit polls
Dems up:
VA 52-47
RI 53-46
PA 57-42
OH 57-43
NJ 52-45
MT 53-46
MO 50-48
MD 53-46
GOP up:
TN 51-48
AZ 50-46
More coming soon... discuss.
Tradesports data:
Senate GOP likelihood: last 65% (from 73% 2 hours ago)
House GOP likelihood: last 11.6%
Senate:
Contract, bid, ask, last, change
VA.SENATE06.DEM
70.0 75.0 68.0 +7.1
TN.SENATE06.DEM
20.4 24.9 23.9 +8.3
RI.SENATE06.DEM
70.0 83.8 72.0 -4.0
MO.SENATE06.DEM
57.0 65.0 60.9 +4.0
MT.SENATE06.DEM
70.0 79.9 79.9 +0.0
MD.SENATE06.DEM
70.0 87.8 70.0 -4.8
(Think of the above as % likelihoods to win).
(Full disclosure: I have been buying Dem win Senate contracts for several weeks!)