How can we predict this?
Currently Allen is ahead by less than 5K votes. The remaining votes are absentees and from heavily Democratic Richmond precincts.
We are predicting a 5K margin in absentees from Fairfax and a 2K vote margin from Richmond. 1K Webb votes remain from Prince William. Newport News absentees also remain.
Webb will likely win by 1-3K votes, there will surely be a recount but at least an initial Webb victory.