The primary is over! Hillary's lead is too great, too vast. 30 points! 50 points 120 points! Her lead is bigger than the poll itself!
Concerned that my candidate had already lost, I asked a great philosopher for his opinion. This is what he said:
Size matters not.
Look at me. Judge me by my size, do you? Hmm? Hmm. And well you should not.
For my ally is the Force, and a powerful ally it is. Life creates it, makes it grow. Its energy surrounds us and binds us. Luminous beings are we, not this crude matter. You must feel the Force around you; here, between you, me, the tree, the rock, everywhere, yes.
You know what? It turns out Yoda is right. Just look at Iowa in 2004 -- from January 7 to January 19, John Kerry gained 17 points and John Edwards gained 14. The message is clear: this race ain't even close to being over. The end game matters.
Here are three polls of Iowans conducted for KCCI TV of Des Moines -- plus the only poll that matters, the one on caucus day.
In October, 2003:
Howard Dean - 26%
Dick Gephard - 26%
John Kerry - 15%
John Edwards - 8%
Source: KCCI, 10/26-28
First week of January, 2004:
Howard Dean - 29% (+3 from Oct)
Dick Gephardt - 25% (-1)
John Kerry - 18% (+3)
John Edwards - 8% (unch)
Source: KCCI, 1/5-7
Second week of January, 2004:
Howard Dean - 22% (-4 from Oct)
John Kerry - 21% (+6)
John Edwards - 18% (+10)
Dick Gephardt - 18% (-8)
Source: KCCI, 1/12-14
Actual results:
John Kerry - 38% (+23 from Oct)
John Edwards - 32% (+24)
Howard Dean - 18% (-8)
Dick Gephardt - 11% (-15)
Source: Actual results from Wikipedia
The only thing I know for sure is that between now and the Iowa Caucus, the end game matters.
And that's a good thing.
Peace,
Patel1946
George Orwell wrote Politics and the English Language in 1946