Yet another new poll out of Iowa this morning, this one from McClatchy/MSNBC.
(Yes, I know that there are many different polls showing many different things. Yes, I know that some of us don't care about polls. Happily, there are thousands of other diaries for you!)
Let's go to the numbers.
First, here are the links for you: the News Story, and the full results in PDF.
Who's winning?
24% John Edwards
23% Hillary Clinton
22% Barack Obama
Obviously, it's close. Well within the margin of error.
-----
What's the movement since the last McClatchy/MSNBC poll before the holidays?
+3 John Edwards
-3 Barack Obama
-4 Hillary Clinton
We can see Edwards picking up substantial support while both Obama and Clinton see support slipping away.
-----
Who's the second choice candidate of Iowa Dems?
36% John Edwards
25% Barack Obama
11% Hillary Clinton
Now things start getting interesting. Not only is Edwards narrowly winning the first choice, but he's easily winning the second choice.
-----
And now comes the best news for folks who want John Edwards to be our nominee.
If supporters of the non-major candidates are forced into their second choice, who's winning?
33% John Edwards
26% Hillary Clinton
26% Barack Obama
Wow. A very big win.
-----
There will be more polls. The caucuses are still a long ways off in political terms. But if this poll is accurate, and if the caucuses were held today, we'd win.
(PS, if you want a good non-polling diary, check out desmoinesdem's great diary, I want John Edwards to take our case to the American people.)