Now, with more than 50% of precincts in the democratic caucus reporting the results are:
1,000 of 1,781 districts reporting
Obama 34.52
Edwards 31.61
Clinton 31.13
Richardson 1.69
Biden 0.98
Dodd 0.04
Uncommitted 0.03
Now compare that to Insider Advantage:
Obama 34 (-3.5)
Edwards 33 (+3.2)
Clinton 32 (+2.6)
123: RIGHT / RM1-2: - 6,5 / RM2-3: -0.6 / # 9.3% / Ø 3.1% / MAX 3.5%
or craptastic ARG:
Obama 25 (-12.5)
Edwards 21 (-8.8)
Clinton 34 (+4.6)
<underline>123: WRONG (3) / RM1-2: - 17.1 / RM2-3: -13.4 / # 25.9% / Ø 8.6%</underline> / MAX 15.5%
or Zogby:
Obama 31 (-6.5)
Edwards 27 (-2.8)
Clinton 24 (-5.4)
123: RIGHT / RM1-2: - 3.7 / RM2-3: -2.6 / # 14.7% / Ø 4.9% / MAX 6.5%
or the so called golden standard DMR:
Obama 32 (-5.5)
Edwards 24 (-5.8)
Clinton 25 (-4.4)
- wrong (2) / RM1-2: - 0.3 / RM2-3: -1.4 / # 15.7% / Ø 5.2% / MAX 5.8%
I call it for Insider Advantage right now and Zogby aint bad. ARG screwed up. The DMR poll mighr or might not have gotten the final order right. Lets wait.
[UPDATED]
Final results
Barack Obama 37.5
John Edwards 29.8
Hillary Clinton 29.4
And the polls I forgot to mention:
CNN/Opinion dynamics
Obama 31 (-6.5)
Edwards 22 (-7.8)
Clinton 33 (+3.6)
- wrong (2) / RM1-2: - 1.3 / RM2-3: -11.4 / # 17.9% / Ø 6.0% / MAX 7.8%
LA Times
Obama 22 (-15.5)
Edwards 25 (-4.8)
Clinton 31 (+1.6)
- wrong (2) / RM1-2: - 10.7 / RM2-3: -6.4 / # 21.9% / Ø 7.3% / MAX 15.5%
MSNBC/McClatchy (with second choice forced)
Obama 26 (-11.5)
Edwards 33 (+3.2)
Clinton 26 (-3.4)
- wrong (1) / RM1-2: - 14.1 / RM2-3: -6.6 / # 18.1% / Ø 6.0% / MAX 11.5%