Throughout the election I've been following electoral-vote.com. Like RCP it gives a state-by-state breakdown of polls (I think they use pretty much exactly the same data) which I just find more useful than national polls.
Now what got me excited was this:
The chart shows predicted electoral college votes excluding those states that are dead heats or 'barely' for either candidate. That is all the results used are outside the margin of error for the polls. And what's pretty obvious is that Obama has breached 270. How exciting.
Whilst every still bemoans Obama's single digit national lead I think this shows the real picture of what's happening out there - voters everywhere are firming up their decisions and it's going Obama's way.
It's worth noting that at this stage in 2004 the same data showed Kerry?Bush tied on about 220 vote a piece.
Is this pointing to a landslide for Obama?
Update: When Karl Rove starts calling it for Obama, it's time to call it a day surely?