First off, I want to remind those "it's over" posters that polls are a projection of what can happen IF PEOPLE VOTE; If you sit on your couch all day on election day waiting for the big news when polls close, you'd be surprised just how wrong the polls can be.
Well, this is one of the "you heard it here first" exclusives on Dailykos. A story that is likely to be confirmed,if necessary, by the Obama campaign in the coming days.
I heard rumors from campaign insiders yesterday and today that the Obama campaign will focus entirely on a certain number of battlegrounds for the next 2 weeks, leaving out Indiana and North Carolina. Apparently they had some internal numbers yesterday and based their decisions on those numbers. The Obama team supposedly assessed that their best chance of winning a former red state is Virginia and they will redouble their efforts there. Mccain has now started to actively campaign in the state and Obama's numbers are falling a bit . Obama will likely suspend his ad spendings in Indiana and North Carolina ( as the numbers there showed the states getting redder and practically out of reach ), redirect his ressources in those states to Virginia and ... West Virginia !
From the Gore states ( yes Gore is the standard, not Kerry), the Obama team deemed Minnesota, New Mexico, and New Hampshire the less safe and they will step up their campaign efforts in those states as well. The traditional battlegrounds of Florida and Ohio will however be the biggest focus points. Obama is planning massive spending in Florida and Ohio (where he apparently is behind in their latest numbers) in the next 2 weeks coupled with a lot of campaign stops and organizing efforts.
BTW, before anyone flips out again about the discrepancy with the public poll numbers, you shouldn't forget that the party ID breakdown in internal campaign polls is very different from Gallup or R2K. They usually assume the worst, which is the best tactic .