I'm so sick of hearing about the specter of a McCain "October Surprise." Are they going to be even more disgusting and vile over the last 300+/- hours until November 4th? Its hard to go much lower, but, of course they will. They have nothing. They're gunning for the lowest of the low information voters. Their ploy is to turn Barack Obama into Linda Blair.
However, I think this panic of some kind of October surprise from McCain is crazy. Does anyone remember that as of 10/21/08, Team Obama had $133,000,000 in the bank? Do you think they're going to coast into the final 13 days?
I'm sure Team Obama has their own "October Surprise(s)" for the final stretch.
I want everyone's opinion of what Barack should do in the stretch run and my own opinions below the fold...
First off. I have no inside information. I'm just some dude in Fort Lauderdale. However, I want everyone's opinion on what we think Team Obama should / will do for the next 2 weeks.
There are a growing number of Democrats who have some type of selective amnesia when it comes to Obama's campaign. Has anyone noticed that its being run by some kind of Jedi masters? David Plouffe and David Axelrod have to be geniuses.
They've never panicked. They've never even flinched. They've stayed the course through the primaries and took down the Clinton machine. They've run a truly national campaign that has put states like Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, Indiana, etc. not just in play, but as potentially electoral wins for Barack. Their advertising has been superb.
At every stage of the race, the campaign has moved like a chess master, thinking several steps ahead. I was at a rally in downtown Miami (40,000 of us attended!) where Barack and Michelle talked. Every staffer, every volunteer was making sure people knew where the polling places were. What information they needed. Staffers everywhere. The talk was about when and how to vote, not ranting and raving like the fucktards McCain campaign. There's no way Team Obama is just "running out the clock."
Yes, Obama is going to have these 30 minute Ron Popeil infomercials on every major network just 6 days before the election. I'm sure they've consulted the finest writers, directors and Hollywood Illuminati to capture the heart and soul of some of the last undecided voters in the country.
I think the reason Obama is leading in the polls is because he's stayed on message and hasn't gone down the road of shame that the McCain campaign has. Believe me. There were many times when I was furious that the Obama Campaign wasn't sledgehammering McCain or Palin over their idiocy. Guess what...Obama's team was right and I was wrong.
So, having ranted for a little bit, here's what I think will happen after Barack comes back from Hawaii.
- Just like they did post-September 11th, another Obama Rope-A-Dope is coming. They let McCain and Governor Sasquatch have their little fun after their convention...then, BOOM, Obama launched 5 new national commercials from 9/12-9/16.
My opinion is that they've let this tide of hate and fear and build up to a point where it has now become the "Theatre of the Absurd." My bet is that Team Obama has already cut ads that take McCain to task for running such a poor campaign. I don't know what the ads will look like or say, but they have to exist.
It will go something like this:
Barack's media liaisons will spread word that Barack will give a "major" speech his first day back on the campaign trail. This will get the douche nozzle media to cover the event like crazy. Obama will publicly shame McCain and Palin very, very harshly, but in a way that calls them out for not listening to peoples' needs, etc. You know how Barack does it...he scolds them, but with respect heheheheh.
I bet they've begged Colin Powell to cut one TV ad that basically repeats what he said on Meet the Press. I also believe they've asked Warren Buffett to cut a TV ad as well.
- They're going to do all of this before McCain and his
scum sucking lowlifes campaign have a chance to run whatever kind of sleaze they're planning for the final two weeks.
This way, they'll look like even bigger assholes than they already are. Obama will have called them out. They will play right into Obama's hands and "prove" to the American people that McCain is completely out of touch with the lives and needs of everyday people.
McCain's attack will look so petty by that point that it'll be another "The fundamentals of our economy are strong" moment for the McCain campaign.
- With the amount of money Obama has, on top of the tens of thousands of volunteers he has nationwide, he can pick and choose whatever states he wants to saturate at will. If Pennsylvania looks iffy, guess what? Tens of millions of dollars and thousands of staffers can go to that one single state.
On top of that, with Obama's cash, he can actually make McCain chase ghosts of his own. Obama can go spend $5,000,000 in Kansas and it will have McCain's shoddy campaign shaking in their boots thinking Obama's pollsters have internal polling numbers that warrant the media buys, which will send McCain's campaign chasing "foo fighters."
Just look at the McCain campaign now. They're making their "last" stand in Pennsylvania while Obama has Hillary, Bill, and Fightin' Joe Biden cris-crossing battle ground states daily.
- The real secret to Obama's October surprise has nothing to do with his campaign or his money. It doesn't even have anything to do with you or me (people that are really politically knowledgeable and active). It has nothing to do with yard signs, bumper stickers or banners.
It has to do with four voting groups: Women, African Americans, Latinos, and the Youth Vote.
All throughout the first part of the Democratic primary, every other freaking story was about "the year of the Latino" vote. This would be the year the Latino vote would make a serious dent in the electoral map. I haven't seen or read one story concerning the Latino vote in months on any of the major news networks. Does anyone think that the reason New Mexico is blue and Colorado/Nevada are on the verge of being blue has something to do with this? You bet your fanny it does.
I'm happy that Sara Palin is hockey mom (whatever the fuck that is), but the idea of overturning a woman's right to choose is a fundamental right that can't be taken lightly. I think the McCain campaign has sorely underestimated what kind of impact the Supreme Court has on women in this country.
There are huge numbers of African American voters who are registered voters, but have never voted, or they are first time voters. These people probably never get included in any poll for a variety of reasons.
Here's some anecdotal evidence. Like I said before, I live in Fort Lauderdale. When I went to the Obama rally in downtown Miami, I befriended an Obama campaign staffer who gave me some pretty interesting numbers just for Miami-Dade county alone. She told me that there are at least 50,000 to as many as 100,000 African Americans in Miami-Dade county that are either newly registered voters or registered voters that did not vote in the 2004 election. That's in one county in a state that has a pretty decent population of African Americans.
To me, the African American vote is being under counted severely. That's why states like Georgia are in serious play in my demented mind.
The youth vote is going to be ginormous. Going back to the Obama rally I attended, the overwhelming majority of Obama volunteers were super young and energetic men and women (and the women were hott (one t wasn't enough!!!). Enthusiasm, charismatic, intelligent, determined. They were unbelievable. Also, the crowd's most energetic audience wasn't the African Americans, the Latinos, the women, or the families, it was the college kids.
Your thoughts below please...