This looks like the beginning of the end for Senator Barack Obama's campaign.
Things were looking so hopeful, with CNN and Survey USA showing that absolute must-win-for-Clinton state Texas is now a tight race.
But now the American Research Group shows Obama up 52-42 in Wisconsin, when just the other day, they'd had Clinton up 49-43
In other words, Obama's doomed.
Nah, in all reality, ARG numbers are meaningless more than they are a flat-out indication that the opposite will happen.
At least I hope that's true.
It definitely is true if movie buff's description of their methodology is accurate
ARG is not a pollster
It's a team of blindfolded monkeys on crack throwing feces at a number chart.
Looks like the monkeys hit Clinton's numbers today.1 |
Anyway, here's to hoping ARG finally gets one right.
ARG's crosstab data that they deigned to release.
Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton among men 59% to 37% (46% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, it is Clinton 47% and Obama 46%. In the February 15-16 survey, Obama was leading Clinton among men 48% to 42% and Clinton was leading Obama among women 55% to 39%.
Obama leads Clinton among white voters 49% to 45% (88% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 86% to 9% (8% of likely Democratic primary voters), and Obama leads Clinton among Latino voters 61% to 33%.
27% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 15% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. White voters age 45 to 64 have switched from Clinton to Obama, although women in this age group are less apt to say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton when compared to the men in the age group.
1 movie buff later admitted to having plagiarized this joke from Free Republic. Therefore, movie buff must be an Obama supporter and thus should not be taken seriously.