I take a few things as given.
#1 Obama will arrive at the convention with a lead in pledged delegates but he will need significant numbers of Supers to put him over the top.
#2 Given #1, if Clinton wins the nomination via Supers overturning the pledged delegate plurality, there will be a significant risk of important Democratic constituencies sitting on their hands in November.
#3 The "dream ticket" cannot be made.
I look at the above and come to these conclusions:
#1 After the PA primary, Clinton throws in the towel. Pushed by party elders or doing the math herself? What matters is it's over.
Status: Pending
#2 As the inevitability of a Clinton withdrawal becomes clearer, the steam will go out of the "re do" movement, any such exercise will be recognized as a waste of money. Even if plans are made, legislation passed, approvals sought and given, it will be abandoned. There will be no re-vote in either state. Their currently structured delegations will be seated and join in the nomination of Obama.
Status: No "re-do"s is practically a lock now
#3 The core Democratic constituencies will be united in November and will turn out in typical or slightly increased numbers. McCain will peal off some normally Democratic voters but that gain will be offset by large numbers of voters in core Republican constituencies sitting on their hands (maybe going 3rd party). Obama will be #44.
Status: Pending
#4 Hillary Clinton will not run for president again.
Status: May not know this for sure for years & years
I just wanted to get these predictions out there. Like anyone else, I'll conveniently forget this diary entry if I'm wrong, but point to it proudly if I'm right.