There has been a lot of talk lately about how Hillary can’t win and how she must get out of the race. But that is wrong, and I have PROOF. The campaign came out this morning with a memo, to which many responded: but where’s the path to the nomination. Well, it wasn’t that clear in the memo, I’ll admit, but I think after you read this we can lay to rest the claim that Clinton doesn’t have a realistic path to victory.
- Florida and Michigan will be seated. And the will each get to vote twice because of all the trouble they’ve gone through.
- Superdelegates. Clinton already has a lead of 50 superdelegates. What makes you guys so sure Obama will get any more? I think she'll take the rest.
- Big states. Think of them as the bullies. They may just threaten to beat up the little states unless their delegates change their votes.
- Momentum. Obama got momentum after Iowa, South Carolina, and his 11 states in a row last week. Clinton got momentum out of New Hampshire, Nevada, Florida, Michigan, Super Tuesday, and Super Tuesday 2 (last night). That’s 3 to 6, 67% to 33%. She’s killing him here! (And I didn’t even giver her more points for having the word ‘super’ in two of her wins.
- Momentum Delegates WILL be seated! This is one of the most missed points. Everyone keeps talking about superdelegates and pledged delegates, but these don’t get any respect. And like I said before, Clinton has a commanding lead here.
- Expectations. Say what you will about the Clinton campaign, but its hard to discount their ability to lower and exceed expectations. And everyone seems to forget that she’s now in the BEST situation to win the nomination. Certainly everyone on this site expects Obama to be the nominee. On Intrade, he has a 70% chance of winning the nomination. If Clinton keeps staying in the race, winning some states and at least capturing like 20% in every state, we will get to the nomination and everyone will say. “Wow, that’s better than expected.” Then she gets the nomination. Duh.
- Bellweather states. Clinton won Ohio, the bellweather state! I’m pretty sure there’s like 8 states that claim this title, but whatever, she won the most recent one. So, she HAS to be the nominee. Do you really want a nominee that DOESN’T have luck on his side? Not to mention, the GOP nominee is known for being superstitious. If Clinton is the nominee he will probably drop out because he knows Ohio picks the president (and already picked Clinton!)
- He hasn’t been VETTED! I looked it up, to vet is: “to examine or treat in one's capacity as a veterinarian.” That means he might have rabies!
- The media. The media has been SOOO easy on Obama. He won 11 contests in a row. The media was calling on Clinton to drop out left and right. They called her the “Mike Huckabee of the Democratic primaries,” Every program on the 24-hour networks was about how she can’t win the nomination mathematically. And yet, Obama still lost on Tuesday. The voters pick the nominee, not the media. So there.
- White people won’t vote for black people in Pennsylvania. Ed Rendell said so. The population of Pennsylvania is 86.38 percent white. Even if Obama were able to win everyone else (unlikely) he can only manage to get 14% of the vote. Everyone knows you need 15% to get any delegates. Thus, Clinton wins 158 delegates out of PA, and then has the pledged delegate LEAD!!
She does’nt even need all of them to happen, maybe even just ONE!
So all you naysayers who claim she has no path to the nomination, I bet you’re all pretty embarrassed now, huh?