According to Democratic Convention Watch, Obama had a great weekend in terms of narrowing Clinton's lead among superdelegates.
He picked up add-on delegates in Delaware, North Dakota, DC, and Missouri. One Clinton-supporting superdelegate in Utah was moved to the "uncommitted" category (listen to the great piece on her on NPR), while another in Louisiana was replaced by an uncommitted superdelegate. And while the Dems in DC did seem to mess up by making a Clinton supporter one of their add-ons, what's amazing is that the other named add-ons, from states Clinton won handily (Oklahoma, Arkansas, and two from Tennessee, plus one from Missouri), have yet to officially declare their support for her. So Obama is leading the add-on race 6-1 at this point, and trails the superdelegate race by a mere 25 now. It was 34 a week ago.
Another interesting thing I found was that the California state party chair unilaterally names the add-ons, and he has said he will give 3 to Clinton and 2 to Obama. While this actually adds to Clinton's lead, it further lowers the number of available superdelegates, and thus makes it more difficult for Clinton to win.
And of course, there's the Pelosi club: the four uncommitted delegates ready to go with the winner of the pledged delegate race, plus the two Obama supporters planning same, plus Maria Cantwell, a Clinton supporter.
If you include those (plus California) in Obama's column, Clinton's superdelegate lead is down to 20.
The next round of add-ons, those through May 1, come in Clinton-friendly states (New York, New Jersey, Arizona, New Hampshire, New Mexico, plus Maryland). So we could see her narrow the add-on gap. But the rest of May looks great for Obama - Louisiana, South Carolina, Illinois, Utah, Colorado, Kansas, Alaska, Georgia, Wyoming, Hawaii, Maine, Mississippi for Obama, with only Massachusetts and Ohio (both have two add-ons and SHOULD split them) plus California for Clinton. Then, looking at June, a worst-case scenario for Obama is an even split of the 28 June add-ons.
I think a worst-case scenario from here on out for Obama is a 35-35 split in the remaining add-ons. That's fantastic for him, of course, because it will mean a mere 250 supers left for Clinton to try to overturn the will of the people, with her needing probably 80% or more of them. But it could be even better, should states like Maryland, Virginia, Georgia, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Washington, and North Carolina give Obama both their add-ons (an entirely reasonable thing for them to do given his astounding successes in these "small" states!).
Meanwhile, we've got a whole bunch of rumors about North Carolina congressmen, the overwhelming outpouring for Obama in response to Deb Kozikowski's request for input at ruralvotes.com, all the Clinton people saying they'll go with the popular vote winner (a very tough metric for Clinton to win, depending on the inclusion of Florida), Chris Bowers' rumors and his note about unfilled seats, and the fact that people like Schweitzer, Tester, Mark Udall, Ron Wyden, and others would have to be absolutely insane to go for Clinton, and I'm feeling very very good about the damn superdelegates. At least, today.
UPDATE!The New York Times gives us another one - Montana's Margaret Campbell - to lead off a story about Clinton's superdelegate "tough math". DRIP DRIP DRIP!!!