Two new PA primary polls out this morning. The first is Strategic Vision, which 5 days ago released a poll showing Clinton up 8, now shows Clinton up 5, which is in line with yesterday's Quinnipiac and Rasmussen results.
The other is from PPP, which showed in its last poll Obama up 2. They've reverted from their outlier to a more realistic Clinton by 3. PPP has been overall pretty good in the cycle, and this is potentially encouraging for Obama, not least because the reversion in the crosstabs is among Clinton's base groups, meaning that the gains Obama showed in the groups he tends to get to swing to him during campaigning -- 30-45 adults and white males -- are more likely to be real.
Despite the overall mixed bag, one thing is consistent -- SUSA's most recent poll (Clinton+18) remains a clear outlier. Among polls no older than April 1, every one of them shows a spread between even and Clinton+6. Even the Muhlenberg poll of 3/26-4/2 only had Clinton+10, but that was in line with the Quinnipiac and Rasmussen polls of the same time frame, both of which have tightened.
Most recent April polls for PA primary, with their polling dates:
Pollster | Date | Spread |
---|
Survey USA | 5-7 Apr | Clinton +18 |
Quinnipiac | 3-6 Apr | Clinton +6 |
Rasmussen | 7 Apr | Clinton +5 |
Strategic Vision | 4-6 Apr | Clinton +5 |
PPP | 7-8 Apr | Clinton +3 |
InsiderAdvantage | 2 Apr | Clinton +2 |
ARG | 5-6 Apr | Even |