At the risk of sounding hypocritical, since I did argue recently that we should not pay much attention to snapshot polls ("Snapshot Polls and the Popular Vote:Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics" http://msa4.wordpress.com/ ), I post below the latest poll numbers from RealClearPolitics.
Why? Because as we approach this Saturday's DNC meeting, the Clintons’ arguments have become increasingly implausible and even bizarre, depending on a mythical popular vote, and a claim that not only will she win the general election, but that she is (already) winning the general election, at least according to Bill. Of course one can’t be certain this far out about how things will play out in the general election. And one certainly can’t use poll results as close as those found below to guarantee anything.
All of this might matter little if some of Hillary's supporters weren’t being led to believe that the race is being stolen from her. A mythology that Hillary "was robbed," if it takes hold, will be very bad for the Party, and for the Party's chances in November.
From RealClearPolitics http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...
Democratic Nomination Race.......Obama vs. Clinton
RCP Average 05/08 - 05/28 -- 51.0 40.5 Obama +10.5
Gallup Tracking 05/25 - 05/28 1279 V 52 42 Obama +10.0
Rasmussen Tr. 05/25 - 05/28 900 LV 47 44 Obama +3.0
Newsweek 05/21 - 05/22 608 RV 50 42 Obama +8.0
Reuters/Zogby 05/15 - 05/18 516 LV 59 33 Obama +26.0
Quinnipiac 05/08 - 05/12 864 RV 45 41 Obama +4.0
ABC News/Wash Post05/08 - 05/11 620 A 53 41 Obama +12.0
General Election.................Clinton vs. McCain
RCP Average 05/11 - 05/28 -- 45.7 45.0 Clinton +0.7
Gallup Tracking 05/23 - 05/28 4365 RV 47 45 Clinton +2.0
Rasmussen Tr. 05/25 - 05/28 1600 LV 46 46 Tie
Newsweek 05/21 - 05/22 1205 RV 48 44 Clinton +4.0
Reuters/Zogby 05/15 - 05/18 1076 LV 43 43 Tie
IBD/TIPP 05/12 - 05/18 953 A 44 39 Clinton +5.0
Democracy Corps (D)05/13 -05/ 151014 LV 49 47 Clinton +2.0
Battleground 05/11 - 05/14 1018 LV 43 51 McCain +8.0
General Election.................Obama vs. McCain
RCP Average 05/11 - 05/28 -- 46.7 44.0 Obama +2.7
Gallup Tracking 05/23 - 05/28 4365 RV 46 45 Obama +1.0
Rasmussen Tr. 05/25 - 05/28 1600 LV 42 47 McCain +5.0
Newsweek 05/21 - 05/22 1205 RV 46 46 Tie
Reuters/Zogby 05/15 - 05/18 1076 LV 48 40 Obama +8.0
IBD/TIPP 05/12 - 05/18 953 A 48 37 Obama +11.0
Democracy Corps (D) 05/13 - 05/15 1014 LV 48 46 Obama +2.0
Battleground 05/11 - 05/14 1018 LV 49 47 Obama +2.0
And for what it’s worth, I throw in for good measure the latest results from Intrade. The traders currently think that Obama will beat McCain. http://www.intrade.com/...
Presidential Election Winner
In the following order Bid, Ask, Last, Vol, Chg
Barack Obama 56.6; 57.5; 59.8; 161015; +2.3
John McCain 37.4; 37.5; 37.5; 205793; -0.2
Hillary Clinton M 5.7; 6.4; 5.7; 299434; -0.2