During the GA primary, I cautiously optimistic that Obama was going to do very well, because of all the excitement surrounding his run. Since then I have been pretty sure that could win GA in the GE...we just needed to make sure that we do everything possible to get more people registered to vote.
Well, according to A New InsiderAdvantage Poll...it's very close.
More after the break.
chocolatechiq.com
According to Huffington Post and the original Insider Advantage article,
McCain: 44%
Obama: 43%
Barr: 6%
Undecided: 7%
It is crazy that it is only June and the numbers are already tightening. I know it is early, but Obama's 50 state strategy could potentially lead to a landslide. Buoyed by the results in PA, FL, and OH, "No red states or blue states" could easily become a reality (AND YES, I KNOW THERE IS STILL ALOT OF WORK TO DO ON THE GROUND).
What will be major factors in an Obama win was bore out in the findings from this poll:
"Georgia is competitive for Obama for several reasons. First, it has a high African-American voting age population (VAP). Second, it has an unusually high percentage of younger voters (18-29). Both of these groups are more in the Obama camp, with black voters already at the 83 percent level and likely to climb. Equally important, like its neighbor Florida, Georgia has a high percentage of voters who consider themselves independent. Obama is carrying that critical swing vote by about 10 percent in the poll."
Towards the end of the primary season, I thought of the idea of "Delivering the South to Obama" which would include VA, NC, GA, MS, SC and potentially LA. We make sure that this becomes a reality. Obviously, some people at Insider Advantage agree with me:
"My view is that Georgia, the 9th largest state in the nation with 15 electoral votes, will remain a major new battleground state through November. This changes the landscape of electoral politics as Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, and perhaps another surprise southern state, join Florida as potential "swing states," that cannot be presumed to vote Republican in 2008."
Don't forget Bob Barr, YEAH!
"As to the Bob Barr effect, Barr’s numbers dropped slightly overall from our poll of Georgia in March. However, he remains at a 6% level, healthy for a Libertarian. And among senior voters he receives nearly 10% of the vote.