The Russian-Georgian conflict is very simple: Russia will have access to the Black Sea, and therefore the Med, period. But Russia's moves in Georgia are also part of a complex emerging process of countering America's Global Corporate Empire.
During the Soviet breakup, Russia made a deal with the Ukraine that calls for Russia to depart its major port facilities in the Crimea in 2012. Before that time comes the Russians will either have cut a new deal with the Ukraine to maintain their port faciliteis there, or they will have access through Georgia. It's as simple as that.
The Russians will not be denied direct access to the Black Sea and the Med. Behind this simple fact of Russian geopolitics are the complications of American aggression along Russia's borders, and America's political manipulations within the former Soviet States.
Our heavy investments in the "Color" revolutions in Georgia and the Ukraine, the aggressive moves of NATO to extend itself right to the Russian border, combined with the American plan to move missile sites up to the Russian border give solid assurance that Russia will not cooperate with the west in the final disposition of the former Soviet states in Eastern Europe.
Russia is now pouring money into the Ukraine to counter our massive bribes to the pro-western forces. Russia is now set to militairly crush Georgia. Russia has restarted deep water Naval patrols, and is once again flying strategic bomber patrols armed with nukes.
Oh yea, and Russia has also claimed the same right to use preemptive nuclear strikes after listening to Bush claim the right to preemptively nuke anyone he wants, but especially Iran and N.Korea, for the past five years.
We set the table for this geopolitical feast, but the main course on our menu is not what we expected it to be. We can no longer expect to win more middle-eastern power and oil with our wars and violence. Now it is our influence and power that is on the menu, and it may be Russia that eats our lunch.
This should be no surprise to honest observers. From the fall of the Soviet Union the US has acted irresponsibly and aggressively towards Russia. In the wake of the Soviet breakup the US exerted extreme pressure on Yeltsin to privitize the industry of the emerging new Russia, which he did.
Our encouragment of the Russian Robber Barrons caused tremendous strain on Russia's emerging polity and economy, not to mention the incredible suffering of the Russian people during this period. This led to the fall of our oliarches, and the rise of a new form of Russian nationalism, and Putin.
In the post-soviet E. European states, the US and Europe encouraged a drastic and precipitious political breakup, fueled the independence aspirations of the Balkan States, which directly leadto the series of bloody Balkan wars that tore the region apart.
Apparently American policy makers believed that Russia would remain weak, so they began kicking and stomping Russia when it was down. Russia is no longer down. Instead of creating trust, these hostile aggressive moves provided a rallying point for Russian public opinion and a strong foundation for the rise of Russian nationalism. And now Russia is back.
Now Russia has consolidated its domestic polity and economy, and is looking to readjust both its regional influence in the post-Soviet Eastern European states, part of which will be to do whatever is necessary to maintain access to the Black Sea and the Med, and part of which will be to counter the western funding and political support for pro-western factions in the post-Soviet states bordering Russia.
We would have been much wiser if we would have encouraged these post-Soviet border states to emerge as neutral independent states, rather than as targets of NATO expansion and American backed governments.
Our aggressions along the Russian borders is now being overmatched by Russia. If we had a compentent or even an honest government, this would have never happened. The Democrats and Republicans are neither. They represent the most violent and greedy corporate interests in our country, and these interests are only concerned with expanding their global influence and power.
The US's poorly thought out attempts to form and prop up pro-western regimes in Georgia and the Ukraine are now being strongly countered by Russian political, economic, and now in Georgia, by military means, and there's not a damn thing we can do about it, either militairly, politically, or economically.
Our army has been broken by the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The lying and manipulation that led to the war has compromised our diplomatic credibility and the force of our internatonal political power, and decades of internal economic corruption has looted our economy, and our middle-class, of its wealth. We are incredibly vunerable in military, political and economic terms right now.
And we have little credibility or influence on Russia. We demonstrated huge amounts of bad faith after the fall of the Soviet Union by pushing our influence right up to their borders. Now Russia is just beginning to push back, just as our political and economic power are waning, and our military has been severely degraded in Iraq and Afghanistan.
I believe (and I have stated since 1991) that an American political and economic crisis would follow the breakup of the Soviets by fifteen years. My prediction put the American political and economic crisis at around 2006. It appears that I am a bit off, as our crisis appears to be building to a cresendo right now in 2008.
Well, here we are in 2008, and we are losing control of the middle-east and our control of global energy markets, we have lost our Empiric Domimantion of South America. China is dominating Asia and building strong alliances in Africa, all while the American economy is on the verge of collapse.
Remember what broke Russia? Afghanistan.
In the meantime, Russia has pulled out of the Conventional Forces Treaty in Europe, and is making a big deal about rearming itself to counter placement of American missiles along its borders.
Russia has pushed us out of the gas rich post-Soviet Central Asian Turkmin nations. Russia has made a mutual defence treaty with Iran, and has supplied them with sophisticated weapons and nuclear fuel for their Bashir reactor.
It appears that a new chapter in the struggle for global domination is opening that will feature Russia acting strongly to counter America domination of the world, starting by rebuffing NATO's expansion right up to the Russian borders.
If I'm right about the timing of an American political and economic meltdown following the Soviet Collapse by fifteen years, (roughly) we here in America are going to have much bigger problems than a simple domestic economic crisis.
Our impending meltdown is almost perfectly timed with Russia's reemergence as a global power, with the rising economic and regional power of China, and the with the rapid decline of American influence in the Middle-East.
Our domestic corruption, consisting of allowing the corporate power to hijack our democracy, loot our country, and use our global power to destroy the rule of law and attempt to create and impose a corporate empire on the world appears to have put our once secure global dominance at serious risk.
We are guilty of allowing our government, our military, and our political power to be poorly used to advance corporate profits at the expence of justice, commons sense, and global stability.
Our loss of our domestic democracy, our loss of our national wealth, and our failed attempt to continue to militarily dominate the Middle-East may be the pivot point for a global shift in the balance of power from American Global Domination to a set of regionaly dominant powers.
I would not be surprized if the situation in Georgia hardens Russia's resolve to strongly counter American expansionism by strongly supporting Iran, Serbian nationalists, and the people in Egypt, Pakistan, and Colombia who are tired of their American Dictators.
This is our own fault. Allowing our democracy to be hijacked and looted by the corporate power, allowing the corporate power to terrorize the world, impose dictators everywhere we could, to invade Iraq, and act aggressively against Russia in Eastern Europe appears to have finally triggered the formal start of a new global struggle, not yet for domination, but for nations around the world to get out from under the iron fist of the American Corporate Empire.
If this view is correct, we are about to enter a period where a series of wars and civil wars will begin around the world to contest American control of their governments. This could very easily end in a world war.
Egypt, Pakistan, all of Eastern Europe, the Phillipines, Colombia, and Ethiopia all come readilly to mind as emerging battlegrounds between local desires for self-determination and freedom, the American Empire, and the emerging global powers of Russia and China.
I expect that Russia and China will be very, very helpful in the accelerating process of third world nations decolonizing and and getting out from under the American Empire. We had our time as the uncontested dominant world power, and we used this time to rob the world, not spread democracy and freedom. We have neither here.
Now our time at the top of the heap is coming to a close, and no countries that are honest or free will have any incentive to defend the Americans who stole their wealth, imposed dictators over them, and called it "a better way of life."
The power and wealth we have stolen from the world is slipping through our fingers, at the same moment that our justifications for our global empire are being recognized as lies by the vast majority of people around the world.
We have lost our domestic democracy, we have pissed off our wealth, we have lost the hearts and minds of people around the world,. And now we are going to lose our position as the dominant world economic power, and therefore lose our position as the dominant military power in the world.
Georgia is just the first real external step of the reemergence of Russia as a global competator against the American Empire. And the World is ready to have options in their emerging fight against American domination of their wealth, resources, and politics.
If our economy really tanks, and I expect the dow to hit 7000 well before the end of this year, the wolves at the borders of our global corporate empire are going to start taking big bites out of our fat asses.
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