I know that all of the buzz lately has been about the shift in polls in the Presidential race, but everyone seems to be forgetting about Congressional races. A poll that scared the daylights out of me was the one done by Gallup/USA Today( http://www.pollingreport.com/... gives Republicans a 50%-45% lead over Democrats in the Generic Congressional ballot. This is the same poll that gave McCain a 54%-44% lead over Obama, but for Republicans to be leading Democrats in any poll in Congressional races is absolutely bizzare. I am willing to bet that the poll far oversampled Republicans.
A few polls also came out today for Senate races that were all done by the NRSC. First in Alaska, Ted Stevens is actually ahead of Begich 46%-44%. (http://www.rollcall.com/news/28103-1.html) In New Hampshire, Jeanne Shaheen has a 46%-44% lead over John Sununu (http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0908/Sununu_Still_Weak_In_GOP_Poll.html?showall). Finally, another poll from the Tarrance Group(R) gives Mark Udall a 40%-39% lead over Bob Schaffer in Colorado(http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0908/Undecideds_Reign_In_Colorado.html?showall). These polls may look too close for comfort, but take heart in the fact that they were all done by the NRSC and will likely skew at least a few points more Republican than they actually are.
When it comes to House races, there was a poll done by Survey USA that gives Democratic Rep. John Yarmuth a 53%-45% lead over former Republcian Congresswoman Anne Northup(http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=44d8b15b-0ce6-40f8-85fb-02c29b89f35d). What is interesting here is that Northup is actually winning the young vote. This 53%-45% margin is pretty close to what the final margin should be in this very blue district. There is another poll that was done by the NRCC that gives Democrat Jason Altmire a five point lead over former Republican Congresswoman Melissa Hart in PA-04(http://www.grassrootspa.com/blogcore/pdf/Hart_August_Poll__memo.pdf). Since this was likely a push poll of some type, it will likely skew at least four points more Republican than it normally would, meaning Altmire is in good shape.