Revolutions are ugly and deadly...Let's not try to pooh-pooh this fact...
If you want freedom badly , you have to be willing to fight and die for it..Even kill for it if it's what's necessary.
Our own American revolution would had failed if we hadn't grabbed the guns and forced the British out...The British were determined to squash it , whether the revolutionaries had guns or not...Whether they were peaceful or not...The British just did not like the idea of leaving this huge continent into the hands of us peasants..They felt they made us , so how dare we even think of asking them to leave.
I know most will not agree with my viewpoint , but i strongly believe in them.
The green movement will end up just like the Chinese Tianamen Square failed revolution because the regime is vicious and will fight with deadly force to preserve its power.
Anyone who has the viewpoint that such a regime can be removed through peaceful means are completly out of their mind.
This regime is 10 time more evil then the Shah who were removed in 1979.
While the Shah did tried to oppress the '79 rebellion , they came to the conclusion that to successfully bring it down , they would had to kill millions and concluded that maybe it was time to throw up the towel and leave because they did not have the guts.
Also , Jimmy Carter , the U.S president at the time had told the Shah they could not support any more intensified attacks on the rebellion because it would get very bloodied and the White House wanted no part of it.
At the end , the Shah went into exile and lift the country in the hand of the rebelion.
I would guaranty you that this current regime will go much farther then the Shah ever did and won't tolerate any attempt to remove it from power..
Just the thought of it have angered them...This is why you are now seeing all the killings , murders and arrest , rapes and beatings...Those won't end until the Green gives up and raise the white flag.
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My View Point:
In my opinion , this regime will greatly increase deadly force on the protesters no matter what...It is 100% done deal.
People who refutes taking up arms against the regime has the viewpoint that if the greens don't get violent , the regime will show retrain..
My question to these people are : Where have you been??...Last time i checked , the police were shooting directly at crowds with life ammunition....People getting run down by cars with Basiij in them...Mousavi nephew getting assassinated , then his corpse got stolen to keep them from doing a funeral.
So again , it don't look like the regime is holding back...They have already used deadly force and i believe it will only increase whether the demonstrators are armed or not.
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The only way:
The only way is for the greens to form an armed resistance group that would operate nationwide.
This group will fund itself through the millions who supports its causes inside the country.
People miss the fact that there are other minority groups who have had problem with this regime...Those includes the Boluchs in the south east , the Kurds in the north west near Iraq's border and other groups.
This minority groups consist of about 45% of Iran population...Persians is about 52%.
An armed alliance would be powerful and scare the regime...I believe this is the only way if you want to remove the regime
The regime would have to stretch itself out because they'd be fighting all across the nation and with sanctions on the way , it would lose billions that it needs to keep paying the security personnel high pay for their support.
I'm sorry to say this , but there's no peaceful means that can remove this regime...The green are bound for failure if all they have is hope that maybe some police or member of the army would feel sorry for them and turn against the regime...It will not happen..
The regime is smart and i'm sure they are paying close attention to rank and file security forces.
An armed rebelion could be defeated , but i strongly believe it has much better chance then the peaceful demonstrations.
The current demonstration doesnt strike fear into the regime because they know very well it can't accomplish anything without any military support behind it