Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 3/30-4/2. All adults. MoE 2% (3/23-6 results):
| FAVORABLE | UNFAVORABLE | NET CHANGE |
---|
PRESIDENT OBAMA | 67 (65) | 30 (29) | +1 |
| | | |
PELOSI: | 35 (37) | 45 (43) | -4 |
REID: | 33 (34) | 50 (48) | -3 |
McCONNELL: | 22 (20) | 55 (54) | +1 |
BOEHNER: | 16 (14) | 57 (56) | +1 |
| | | |
CONGRESSIONAL DEMS: | 41 (43) | 52 (49) | -5 |
CONGRESSIONAL GOPS: | 17 (18) | 69 (71) | +1 |
| | | |
DEMOCRATIC PARTY: | 49 (52) | 42 (38) | -7 |
REPUBLICAN PARTY: | 25 (27) | 65 (64) | -3 |
Full crosstabs here. This poll is updated every Friday morning, and you can see trendline graphs here.
As a treat, we have some new graphs to show off. Under President Obama, you'll now see three sub-tab graphs: Overall favorables (what we've always had), Favorables by party ID (including independents), and Favorables by geography (so you can see how Obama does in the South v the East or West.) Here's the independents:
And here's the geographic look, which speaks for itself:
Clearly, the Republicans and the South are tracking differently in our poll for Obama fav/unfav when compared to Democrats and independents. That's not true for job approval in the WaPo poll (data kindly provided by WaPo staff), though they do (as do we) find the East his strongest region:
Net Approve Disapprove
East 76 18
Midwest 70 25
South 62 33
West 60 35
It would be helpful for other polls to look at regional differences, and check the South for what might be grudging approval. (In every poll, look at the indies and look at the trends.)
Of note this week: the right/wrong track is the best it's been since we started measuring it in January. It now stands at 42 right/56 wrong. and while each week compared to prior week might not reach significance (the MoE of +/- 2 means it'd take more than a 4 point change to say that) the steady creep upward from the intial measures of 1/8 are notable.
This is also true in the Congressional Leadership and Congressional Dems & GOP graphs, where as I noted last week, the GOP has hit bottom and is weakly creeping up (still terrible position, but better up than down.)
In fact, as Democrats work the legislative end, unattractive as it is, the only significant drop this week has been in the Democratic Party (net -7) and Congressional Dems (net -5), though the Republican Party dropped as well.
My interpretation is that the country is pleased with the work that's being done, is nervous about the money the budget calls for even while supporting the priorities, and when they step back and see The Big Picture, see the need for change. Obama tanking? Nah. More to come next week.