Research 2000 for Blue Mass Group. 1/12-13. Likely voters. Moe 4%.
Martha Coakley (D) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 41%
A look at Pollster.com shows significant consistency in Coakley's numbers -- over the past 10 days polls have put her between 47% and 53%, and this is obviously no exception. Brown's numbers have bounced around more, from 36% to 48%, with the last two public (as opposed to internal) polls putting him at the top of that range. Hopefully this will be the first of a string of polls in which Brown's numbers return to earth.
At Blue Mass Group, David points out that
Particularly interesting in these numbers is the breakdown of unenrolled (independent) voters. Brown is ahead in that group 49-36; significant, to be sure, but not the overwhelming advantage suggested in the Rasmussen (71-23) and PPP (63-31) polls that came out recently.
He adds via email that this is not just the most recent poll of the race, but the only one taken after Monday's final debate. PPP is in the field now with a poll, so we'll see their trendlines on Sunday night. And Daily Kos is following this Blue Mass Group poll up with one of our own.