Okay, leaked internals are never as good as real polls but I think this will give people some encouragement for tomorrow.
From Steve Kornacki's Blog:
For what it's worth, my little birdie tells me that her Sunday night poll put her ahead by one point and that the three-night average for Friday, Saturday and Sunday also put her ahead by one.
Along with the DailyKos/R2K poll showing a dead heat, it appears that a good GOTV push and last minute positive ads may push Coakley to victory.
Another source claims Coakley's internals show
Coakley: 48
Brown: 46
Second Source
Yes, I know about the ARRRGGG polls and PPP. But remember that PPP predicted a Conservative Hoffmann blowout in NY-23.
I'm hoping this election will be like the NH primary two years ago (wow! really so long?) where media hype and zealous supporters distorted the polls due to response bias. My own judgment is that this race will be very close.
As a final editorial, Congress should have passed health care reform months ago. Then this election would have been very different. Was it really necessary to take an August vacation? When the American people are suffering, it does not help for Congress to take a very lazy pace on passing essential legislation.
Compare how long it's taking Congress to pass Health Care Reform compared to the Bailout.
September 15, 2008: Lehman Brothers falls
October 3, 2008: TARP passes in Congress.
About two and a half weeks compared to the better part of a year for HCR. THAT is why Coakley is struggling right now.