Looks like the tropics have finally cooled off for the season now. Otis is going to pummel Baja California and dump lots of rain on Southern Arizona and Southeastern California. Otis is the 15th named storm in the Pacific, compared to the 17 so far named in the Atlantic.
Tropical Depression 19 has formed over the past twenty four hours and is expected to become Tropical Storm Stan, and possibly stronger, in twenty four hours. It is expected to turn due north and not pose any threat to land except Greenland/Iceland.
Several computer models have continued to predict that a tropical storm will form in the Bahamas area on Monday or Tuesday, but human forecasters put this chance at 20% because of the fact that nothing has developed thus far. If this system did develop it would be forced west or southwestward by a ridge of high pressure building in.
more tropical weather below the fold...
A Caribbean disturbance that could form into a tropical depression, located off the coast of Mexico's Yucatan peninsula, is threatening Mexico and South Texas. This system has a forecasted 40% chance of developing, but the peak any forecaster or model has put on the strength of the system is Category 1.
Back to the Pacific, Hurricane Kenneth dissipated 35 miles east of the Big Island, and the remnants are bringing heavy rains and flash flood problems to the islands over the weekend.
That's all the tropical weather for the time being, but Rita and Katrina have sure made us busy.