With Republicans effectively taking control of the Virginia Senate, I wanted to see what a Republican-drawn Virginia map might look like. The result is 8 McCain districts and 3 Obama districts. Not all that different from the compromise map they had earlier this year.
NOVA
VA-08
Jim Moran (D-Arlington) gets pushed east and south. He now goes down to Prince William County as well as holding on to the Democratic strongholds in Arlington and Alexandra. This district is actually about a point less Dem than current.
D+15
VA-11
Gerry Connolly's (D-Fairfax) 11th obviously gets much safer. However, his hometown is not actually in this district; its in Frank Wolf's 10th. He will certainly run in this district though. The 11th becomes a snaky district that ties together all the most Democratic precincts in Fairfax, Loudon, and Prince William counties.
D+6
VA-10
Frank Wolf (R-Vienna) loses a lot of the most Dem precincts he had before, but still has the least Republican of the Republican districts. It went for McCain by about 500 votes. However, this is quite a shift from the 53-46 Obama district he had previously.
R+6
You may also notice that the 1st district penetrates NOVA much more than it did before. More on the 1st in the next section.
Eastern Virginia
VA-01
Rob Wittman's (R-Montross) district stretches from Fairfax down the coast to Newport News. He adds some Dem leaning areas in NOVA but loses some very heavy Dem areas in the Hampton Roads area. This ends up bumping him by about 3 points.
R+10
VA-03
Bobby Scott's (D-Newport News) district becomes even more Dem heavy than it was before. It takes in all of the high Dem/black areas from Richmond to Norfolk. It ends up being 7 points more Dem than before.
D+27
VA-02
Glenn Nye (R-Virginia Beach) is a beneficiary of VA-03 being packed with Dems. His district goes from an Obama district to a McCain district.
R+8
VA-04
Randy Forbes (R-Chesepeake) is another beneficiary of VA-03. It goes from a 54% Obama district to a McCain district. This is mainly attributed to black percentage dropping from 33% to 27%.
R+8
Virginia
VA-06
Bob Goodlatte's (R-Roanake) district picks up some counties in northern Virginia but loses the Lynchburg area. The end result is that it remains a 57% McCain district.
R+12
VA-07
Eric Cantor's (R-Richmond) district pushes east and north. It stretches from Richmond to northern Fauquier County. Not a whole lot of change here, but it does move one or two more points to the right.
R+10
VA-05
The biggest change for Bob Hurt (R-Chatham) is that he gains the Lynchburg area. The district remains anchored in the middle of the state. The changes to his district move him 3 points more to the right.
R+8
VA-09
Morgan Griffith's (R-Salem) southwestern Virginia district needs to add some population, but otherwise remains unchanged.
R+11