*All partisan numbers are estimates, so accuracy is hit or miss. If don't know what a color is, just ask and I'll tell you what district it is.
Yes, I said 40-13, that is without any manipulation and drawn only on the criteria of compactness. -6 GOP, +5 Dem. It seems like California Dreamin', but the current map is a such a gerrymander, that there are more Republican seats than are proportionate for the state. The commission having control is a good thing, since legislative Republicans could have cut a deal on the budget in exchange for another incumbent gerrymander.
CA-1: Mike Thompson (Blue)
65% Obama. It's practically the same.
CA-2: Wally Herger (Green)
56% McCain. Becomes more rural, which makes sense for the seat.
CA-3: Dan Lungren (Purple)
52% Obama. Lungren got so-so numbers in 2010 and in 2012 Ami Bera shouldn't have a problem winning this one.
CA-4: Tom McClintock (Cadet Blue)
52% McCain. Retracts out of the rural north and just into the suburbs.
CA-5: Doris Matsui (Medium Spring Green)
68% Obama. The City of Sacramento's seat.
CA-6: Lynn Woolsey (Teal)
76% Obama.
CA-7: George Miller (Gray)
68% Obama. Miller takes on almost all of Solano County.
CA-8: Nancy Pelosi (Turquoise)
85% Obama. The home of Rice-a-Roni.
CA-9: Barbara Lee (Royal Blue)
88% Obama. The most Democratic district in the state.
CA-10: John Garamendi (Orchid)
63% Obama. This district would have been an even one some time ago, but trends have changed that.
CA-11: Pete Stark, Jerry McNerney (Light Green)
65% Obama. A primary could ensue here, in which Stark would have the edge due to seniority.
CA-12: Jackie Speier (Cornflower Blue)
74% Obama. Adds some of Santa Cruz County.
CA-13: Michael Machado (Salmon)
53% Obama. I have no idea if the former state Senator would run here, but it's a good fit for him if he wanted to. It's also majority-minority.
CA-14: Anna Eshoo (Olive)
73% Obama. More Silicon Valley centered.
CA-15: Mike Honda (Orange)
70% Obama. Now Asian plurality.
CA-16: Zoe Lofgren (Lime)
67% Obama. Expands out to Morgan Hill and Gilroy, but that only changes the numbers marginally.
CA-17: Sam Farr (Dark Purple)
70% Obama. Taking on conservative Paso Robles and other areas in SLO County changes the numbers some, but Farr is still solid.
CA-18: Dennis Cardoza (Yellow)
50% Obama. This is a new marginal, but Cardoza is skilled enough to handle it. It will no doubt be a top Republican target, though.
CA-19: Jeff Denham (Yellow Green)
55% McCain. Takes in much of the Sierras and portions of Fresno.
CA-20: Jim Costa (Pink)
56% Obama. At 58% Hispanic, the district stays VRA appropriate. Costa can definitely win this one.
CA-21: Devin Nunes (Maroon)
56% McCain, but it goes up to 60% Hispanic.
CA-22: Kevin McCarthy (Brown)
60% McCain. Now majority-minority, but still safe for Republicans. The VRA might have different ideas about where the Hispanic parts of Bakersfield go, though.
CA-23: Lois Capps (Aqua)
56% Obama. Loses some Democratic strength, but Capps is competent and knows how to run a campaign, she's won against well funded GOP challengers four times.
CA-24: Elton Gallegly (Indigo)
55% Obama. Gallegly has fought a competitive race in a long time and is mostly a conservative backbencher. He almost retired in 2006, so a more difficult district could make that option look better to him.
CA-25: Buck McKeon (Dusty Pink)
52% Obama. McKeon will be fine here as long as he wants to stay, but when he retires, it's will be competitive.
CA-26: David Dreier (Dark Gray)
57% Obama. Dreier won't like this, but will probably run anyway.
CA-27: Brad Sherman (Spring Green)
67% Obama. The whole district is in the Valley now.
CA-28: Howard Berman (Plum)
76% Obama. Still majority Hispanic at 56%.
CA-29: Adam Schiff (Sea Green)
67% Obama. Burbank, Glendale, Pasadena. Another seat that would have been even in the past, but solid Democratic now.
CA-30: Henry Waxman (Coral)
70% Obama. One of the more upscale districts with a heavy liberal tilt.
CA-31: Xavier Bacerra (Beige)
79% Obama. 67% Hispanic.
CA-32: Judy Chu (Orange Red)
65% Obama. 45% Hispanic and 38% Asian, but ties at 41% each as VAP goes.
CA-33: Karen Bass (Midnight Blue)
85% Obama. I'm not sure if Bass resides here, but this would be where she would run.
CA-34: Lucille Roybal-Allard (Lime Green)
77% Obama. East Los Angeles district stays mostly intact.
CA-35: Maxine Waters (Dark Orchid)
86% Obama. Carson and Compton get added here.
CA-36: Debra Bowen or Janice Hahn (Light Orange)
60% Obama. Some Republicans seem to think that the Palos Verdes Peninsula will make this district competitive, but even with it added, the rest of the district has trended bluer.
CA-37: Laura Richardson, Linda Sanchez (Dodger Blue)
75% Obama. This will be decided by ethics, which gives Sanchez a step up.
CA-38: Grace Napolitano (Medium Aquamarine)
67% Obama. The last district in Los Angeles County and I managed to keep most districts within the county, with a couple of very small exceptions.
CA-39: Joe Baca Jr. (Moccasin)
54% Obama. At 54% Hispanic, it qualifies as a new VRA district. Baca lost a state Senate primary in 2006, so if a seat like this comes to fruition, he'll jump at it. Assemblywoman Wilmer Carter might also take a look at the race.
CA-40: Ed Royce, Gary Miller (Firebrick)
56% McCain. Miller's egregious gerrymander is dismantled, pushing him in with Royce. Even though Miller is from Diamond Bar, he'd run here as opposed to running a longshot race against Grace Napolitano.
CA-41: Jerry Lewis (Light Steel Blue)
56% McCain. Takes in Inyo County, but keeps most of the same ground of population.
CA-42: Dennis Hollingsworth (Lawn Green)
57% McCain. The former State Senate Minority Leader would be the favorite in this district. Mary Bono Mack could run here if she felt her new district to be too much of a fight, it certainly wouldn't be a problem to switch districts from FL-14, um, I mean CA-45.
CA-43: Joe Baca (Magenta)
65% Obama. Nothing much changes, except for a little bit of expansion out.
CA-44: Ken Calvert (Medium Violet Red)
53% Obama. It's even, but the security for Calvert is gone. Bill Hedrick would have won this seat in 2010 of all years.
CA-45: Mary Bono Mack (Pale Green)
56% Obama. This has been converted to a 51% Hispanic seat, 44% by VAP. Bono Mack's security of Hemet and Murrieta is gone, leaving this seat less Republican. Steve Pougnet should win this.
CA-46: Dana Rohrabacher (Tomato)
52% McCain. Can't say much about this one other than it's very compact. Still Huntington Beach anchored.
CA-47: Loretta Sanchez (Thistle)
59% Obama. Sanchez maintains a Hispanic majority district like the one she has now.
CA-48: John Campbell (Sandy Brown)
50% Obama. It gets no better or worse for Campbell.
CA-49: Darrell Issa, Brian Bilbray (Indian Red)
57% McCain. Picks up some of Orange County. Issa would be favored in the primary
CA-50: Duncan Hunter Jr. (Powder Blue)
52% Obama. The percentage may be lower or higher, but it's definitely different than the current one for the district. Imperial County had to go somewhere and this was the best choice. I presume Democrats could win this one with a good candidate.
CA-51: Bob Filner (Chocolate Brown)
62% Obama. Filner's district looks a lot better in this form, which 56% Hispanic.
CA-52: OPEN (Olive Drab)
54% McCain. Bilbray or Hunter could opt to run here.
CA-53: Susan Davis (Gainsboro)
60% Obama. Davis gets a more compact district, but she's still in solid shape. It's a bit hard to see because of the light color.