Heres my map. It eliminates Gibson who has the oddest district in NY by shape and he gets split every which way. I figured also reason to elim Gibson was why would Dems use their one elimination card on Buerkle when she will probably lose anyway. This map is under the assumption that the legislature draws a map, that they would clear with Cuomo who would agree because of its fairness and cleanliness. That way the leg can take care of keeping incumbents in districts and cuomo gets to have his clean fair districts otherwise. Ackerman and Weiner get eliminated into fair fight district downstate. I couldnt keep Meeks district 50 % black no matter how hard I tried. Got Velasquez up to 50 % hispanic though, and Weiner/Ackerman district has a huge asian percentage from Flushing. It could have been even neater if I compacted Nadler and Maloney into one Manhattan district and then made a brand new incumbent less Brooklyn one.
Higgins – 2/3 of Buffalo. O54%. . Hochul winning prevents him from getting a 60 % Obama district. So he gets no safer, but he hasn't had any serious challenges recently anyway.
Hochul gets N 1/3 of Buffalo plus Amherst, Niagara. O55%. So she gets a lot safer by cleaning up the earmuffs and keeping COI together.
Slaughter gets that Pink district , compact Monroe County only. O59%.
Reed -Purple. O45%. All the small towns of that area, Corning, Elmira, Batavia etc. Safe for him.
Buerkle – Black. Gets all of Onondaga county, Oswego County, Cortland and Chenango plus town of Auburn. O57%. Maffei will win this one back.
Hanna -Blue. Gets a midcities district basically with Utica, Rome, Cooperstown, Johnstown. Unfortunately for pop reasons had to put Schenectady here and now with Albany. O48.5%. He gets about 2 points safer. Takes western parts of Gibsons district.
Owens unifies the North County, loses Oswego. Gains Saratoga Springs and Glens Fall and the northern parts of gibsons district. O52.5%, so stays the same partisan wise.
Tonko – Green. Troy Albany and the Capitol area. Greene and Colombia county and goes down towards Dutchess which it takes half of. Takes Hyde Park down there. Gibsons home is here but he cant win. Its O57.5%. Tonko will actually have to campaign for this seat. So its definitely not fully safe.
Hinchey – Brown. Makes the same Ithaca, Binghampton, Middletown district look better and less ugly. Only splits one county now (grabing Middletown from Orange). Loses Poughkeepsie. O57%. Loses two points, Hinchey might not be the best candidate to hold this down in the future.
Hayworth – Yellow. O51%. Stays same partisan wise. All of Putnam, Orange (minus Middletown), half of Dutches (including Poughkeepsie and then N Westchester to grab her home of Mt. Kisco + Peekskill + Jefferson Valley.
Lowey gets all the rest of Westchester pretty much. Picks up Mt. Vernon. Loses Rockland entirely. O62.5%.
Engel – Blue. All of Rockland County, then takes Tappan Zee to Tarrytown, down thru part of Yonkers to grab Riverdale and a few other places in the Bronx. Engel doesnt get along with the Bronx machine, becoming a Rockland area pol is the only way he can stay in business. O67%. W45b22h26a6.
nyc districts are safe d unless stated otherwise.
Serrano – Orange. 65 % Hispanic. South Bronx. No change.
Crowley – Pink. Pelham, Eastern Bronx. Takes Whitestone bridge to grab College Point, then all the white areas in NW Queens from Maloney (Astoria, LIC etc). W31b18h35a12. Hes head of Queens dem party so hell be ok avoiding a primary most likely.
Rangel – Puke color. Northern Manhattan Isle down to about 86 st on both sides. W30b23h40a5.
pink there is Crowley still.
Weiner /Ackerman– black. Takes Flushing area, Kew Gardens, Forest Hills, Howard Beach, Middle Village, Woodhaven. Pulls out of Brooklyn completely. Asian opportunity for the districts next congressman. O62% so it becomes a little safer. W44b3h17a33. Ackerman reps part of this district around Flushing, Weiner represents the central Queens area. Prob about 50/50 in terms of territory. Maybe more of Ackermans.
Velasquez – light blue. Got that up to 50 % hispanic. Takes Corona, Elmhurst, Jackson Heights, Lefrak City, Maspeth, Bushwick, Greenpoint, part of Williamsburg and then Highland Park. Compact, and pulls out of Manhattan and no more weird shape. W23b9h51a16. Not a VRA district most likely just because only 51 % but just did it to do it.
Meeks is in that corner there, dark teal. Tried to grab every black precinct but couldnt make it VRA compliant. 47 %. Even winding it into Nassau for Elmont wont get it to 50 %. Idk what to do about this. Takes in Rochdale, Springfield Gardens, Rockaways etc, pretty much same district.
Towns is light blue there. Still based in Bedstuy, E NY and Canarsie, picks up Coney island and Sheepshead Bay. 51% Black.
Clarke is the yellow district. Loses park slope and downtown brooklyn. 52% black. Prospect heights, midwood, crown heights, Flatlands and Marine Park.
Maloney is khaki there. It takes the E of Manhattan. Goes down Chinatown, then to the brooklyn bridge where it crosses into Brooklyn. Takes Williamsburg area plus downtown Brooklyn, Brooklyn Heights, Red Hook and Park Slope area.
Nadler – purple. Goes down W side of Manhattan, across Battery tunnel to Brooklyn. Picks up a lot of the areas in Brooklyn he currently represents, Boro park area. Plus Sunset Park as well from Velasquez.
Grimm – green. Staten Island plus Dyker Heights, Bay Ridge and Bensonhurst. O50%. 2 points more D than before because no gerrymander to get to R voters in Brooklyn.
McCarthy is red. Takes a tiny piece of Queens, but otherwise is SW Nassau County. Hempstead, Mineola, New Hyde Park etc. Pretty much same as before. O58%. Same as before.
King- Purple. He loses the weird tail down the south shore in Suffolk to get R voters. Takes Ackerman's area on the North shore in the Great Neck/Port Jefferson area. He and Israel basically equalize so both become more competitive. O50%. Three points more D. Ackerman prob opts to take on Weiner than King.
Israel – Green. Only in Suffolk now. Huntington based still. Gains Smithtown from Bishop to create a clean line across Suffolk. O53 %. Three points more R. Israel wont be happy.
Bishop – Blue. Stays same pretty much. Lose O52%.
Cuomo said he would veto any map that is drawn by the leg, but maybe they would get him to agree to this which is pretty cleanly drawn, does not favor any incumbents other than making sure they are in their current district.
Final verdict: D's still will defeat Buerkle. Hochul prob still in a toss-up seat as opposed to Lean R seat. Tonko gets a little less safe, as does Hinchey. Gibson goes away completely. Engel gets compacted into Rockland pretty much. Velasquez gets compacted into 50 % hispanic district. Weiner's former district gets compacted. Grimm a little less safe. King and Israel both become more competitive. Ackerman V Weiner most likely.
Bonus map here: to stay with clean theme, here is what would happen if you put Nadler and Maloney together in Manhattan, so that both of them dont have to grab people in Brooklyn. Neater, but would create deathmatch unless Nadler moves to Brooklyn /Boro park or something.
This would put Nadler from the UWS versus Maloney most likely (Nadler would probably win) and then would create a downtown Brooklyn, downtown Manhattan, Boro park district which is pretty much exactly the area that State Sen. Daniel Squadron represents, so he would probably win that district. I like it better this for clean lines but if this is a cuomo/leg agreed map, they wont throw two seniors members versus each other like this. Pretty much ends Maloney's career.