If Mason-Dixon conducts a post-debate poll where Obama trails Romney by 7%, we cry...outlier!
Let us examine recent Florida polls:
Rasmussen, Romney +4
ARG: Romney+3
NBC/Marist: Obama +1
When we average these polls, all three conducted in the temporal vicinity of Mason-Dixon, the result is a 2.0% Romney lead. Therefore, Mason-Dixon was an outlier by 5% (7-2).
Fast forward to today's Rocky Mountain poll where Obama leads Romney among likely voters in a post-debate poll. No other polls have been conducted in AZ post-debate; but if one thing is certain in all states, is that post-debate performance is stronger for Romney than Obama, which makes sense since Obama had a terrible debate performance. Let's assume, as any rational person would, that Romney had to have improved his pre-debate numbers after the Presidential debate. With that in mind, here's the only poll conducted shortly before the VP debate:
PPP: October 1-3: Romney leads Obama by 9% among likely voters.
The Rocky Mountain poll is an outlier of greater proportions than Mason-Dixon was...but what do we do? Tout the hell out of this poll by recommending the corresponding diary.
This is not strange in the sense that this is a pro-Democratic website; but it illustrates the extent to which political bias clouds judgment and makes double-standard much more likely.
The only rebuttal I might see in this diary is that Arizona may be different from all other states (in none of which Obama has even approached such improvement). Obama is likely getting his ass kicked in Arizona.
I will write a follow-up diary either congratulating those who disagree with me, or bragging about being right, as only future polls will vindicate me or prove me wrong.