Sam Wang at PEC now shares models suggesting Obama probability of winning the electoral college at 97-99.6%. He also addresses the possibility of popular and electoral vote inconsistencies. It't not that long, you can read it here.
But I will tease you with this little nugget:
A few days ago, the word was that Team Romney was buying ads in Minnesota and Pennsylvania. If he wins either of those states I will eat a bug. Ohio...a really big bug. And yes, I will post a photo.
Today I'll address a common concern among the commentariat: will President Obama lose the popular vote? Steve Lombardo is on the case with some Excel curve fitting of a quality that cannot even identify the Debate #1 bounce. Hmmm, someone take his keys away.
Anyway, the short answer: I estimate Romney's chance of winning the popular vote at 6%, odds of 16-1 against.
Commentariat. Did you catch that? What a great descriptor! We should use it when we pummel the Chuck Todd's of the world after they are proven wrong.