Welcome to the first set of Baseball Rankings this year. It's early, and since I don't base my projections on anything but actual games played, these rankings are not statistically valid. But I hope they are fun!
Let's Go Royals!
Let's Go Giants!
As a statistician I see the power rankings table differently than most people, okay I see most things differently than most people ... here are the rankings as seen through the eyes of a statistician ...
Royals - the best team in baseball!
Giants - A close second!
(Wait, wait, I have my fan glasses on, here let me switch, ah ... much better.)
Based solely on what they have done so far, here are the rankings. My goal is not perfect rankings, rather to spark a baseball discussion. While people here are Daily Kos may disagree about Obama Being too Liberal, too Conservative and don't get me started on how toilet paper should sit in a bathroom, I hope we all can agree the Yankees Suck!
(Kidding ... well kinda of )
Reason I almost chucked the stats and just ranked the Royals in the #1 position.
Best Baseball Story of the Year So Far ...
Before telling me your favorite team is not in the poll, read the disclaimer ...
(Yankee and Red Sox fans ... Read it twice.)
Let's Go Royals!
Let's Go Giants!
Power Rankings - June 30, 2011
Last |
Rank |
Score |
MLB |
Projected Wins |
Projected Losses |
10 |
1 |
3.8 |
St. Louis |
103 |
59 |
11 |
2 |
4.2 |
LA Angels |
105 |
57 |
7 |
3 |
4.3 |
Detroit |
106 |
56 |
21 |
4 |
5.3 |
Washington |
97 |
65 |
5 |
5 |
5.8 |
Texas |
104 |
58 |
12 |
6 |
5.9 |
Toronto |
100 |
62 |
9 |
7 |
6.5 |
Tampa Bay |
98 |
64 |
4 |
8 |
6.8 |
Arizona |
98 |
64 |
30 |
9 |
9.5 |
Houston |
77 |
85 |
14 |
10 |
10.6 |
NY Mets |
81 |
81 |
2 |
11 |
10.8 |
NY Yankees |
87 |
75 |
16 |
12 |
10.9 |
Chicago Sox |
84 |
78 |
25 |
13 |
11.1 |
Florida |
81 |
81 |
28 |
14 |
11.2 |
Baltimore |
80 |
82 |
27 |
15 |
11.3 |
Seattle |
76 |
86 |
6 |
16 |
11.7 |
Milwaukee |
89 |
73 |
1 |
17 |
12.9 |
Philadelphia |
85 |
77 |
20 |
18 |
13.7 |
Colorado |
73 |
89 |
24 |
19 |
15.3 |
Kansas City |
74 |
88 |
23 |
20 |
16.1 |
Pittsburgh |
62 |
100 |
17 |
21 |
16.4 |
Cincinnati |
72 |
90 |
8 |
22 |
16.8 |
Atlanta |
73 |
89 |
13 |
23 |
16.9 |
San Francisco |
70 |
92 |
19 |
24 |
17.7 |
Oakland |
71 |
91 |
15 |
25 |
19.6 |
LA Dodgers |
59 |
103 |
22 |
26 |
20.2 |
San Diego |
66 |
96 |
3 |
27 |
21.0 |
Boston |
61 |
101 |
18 |
28 |
22.8 |
Cleveland |
61 |
101 |
26 |
29 |
23.8 |
Chicago Cubs |
58 |
104 |
29 |
30 |
24.3 |
Minnesota |
45 |
117 |
Standard Disclaimers –
Power Rankings are based solely on what a team has accomplished, not its potential, nor its current state of health. The entire system, both the power rankings and the projected records are based on team, not individual totals.
The raw score is included. This is a relative rank measure, scaled from 1 to 30. It has a confidence interval of around plus or minus 1. That means if your favorite team is less than 2 (1 from their estimate and 1 for the other team's) away from another team, statistically there is a chance the places could be reversed. (The maximum likelihood is the order given though ...) The closer the two scores, the more likely a reversal.
Projected Final Standings are based on simulations and involve rounding. While each team’s total games is 162, the total numbers of wins and losses in the league may not equal each other. Also the Final Standings assumes all postponed games will be completed and this is not always the case.
The poll is based on who would be in the playoffs TODAY, not who I think will be in the playoffs at the end of the year. Teams tied for a playoff spot are also included.
If your team is not in the poll, simply tell them to win more games and they can be in next week’s poll.