Just a few weeks ago, we were all being told that Michigan was a "safe" state for Obama this time around. After all, Obama almost single-handedly rescued the auto industry there, thereby saving countless jobs and helping the economy of the state in the process.
And, conversely, Mitt was on the record for being against the auto rescue, having penned his now infamous 2008 editorial entitled, "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt."
Well, apparently, that was then and this is now, for today a new poll came out by We Ask America showing Romney beating Obama among likely voters 45-43. In fact, four polls have been released in June, with two showing Romney in the lead (Epic-MRA, 46-45 is the other) and two with Obama leading (Baydoun/Foster, 47-45, and, shockingly, Rasmussen, 50-42).
This latest poll was enough for huffingtonpost to move Michigan from the "leaning Obama" to the "tossup" category.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/...
My question is not so much can these polls be trusted but rather has anything changed on the ground in Michigan in recent weeks to account for this shift? I know Romney is bus-touring his way through the state, so that could have something to do with it. I'm also wondering if there has been some intense advertising blitz from either the Romney campaign or his many super-pacs that those of us who aren't there don't know about - a blitz not countered by the Obama campaign.
If you live in Michigan, I would love to have your take on this. And should the Obama campaign start shoring up its support in the state? He certainly can't afford to lose Michigan. I'm not saying it's time to panic, but complacency at such a time could wind up hurting Obama in the long run.