That's right. The emperor has no clothes. Mitt Romney's chance of winning an election held "now" fell to 1.6% in Nate Silver's 538 Now-cast updated tonight.
Here's some Now-cast history:
June 19: 38.2%, Romney's high point
Sept 6: 32.3%, Romney on the cliff, about to fall
Sept 7: 29.5
Sept 8: 23.1
Sept 9: 17.0
Sept 10: 13.5
Sept 11: 11.8
Sept 12: 8.4
Sept 20: 5.6
Sept 25: 3.6
Sept 27: 2.2
Sept 29: 2.0
Sept 30: 1.6
How low can he go???
Update: About an hour after this update it looks like he ran it again and it now shows Romney with 1.9% chances. I think he may have added a new Wash Post poll showing Obama at 49, Romney at 47.
Sun Sep 30, 2012 at 9:16 PM PT: Also, Obama up to 85% in the Nov. 6 forecast, a new high!