joelgp diaried the latest Gallup numbers but they deserve more attention.
[Adopting best Bill Clinton voice, gesturing with hands] Listen up, this is important!
Gallup has 2 tracking polls, one is Obama job approval which is a 3-day rolling average. The second is Obama vs. Romney which is a 7-day tracker. The first number is going to be greatly influence by the just concluded DNC in Charlotte. The second will only be partially affected. Neither will yet be affected by Obama's speech (too late at night).
The 3-day average shows a big big huge bounce! The second, the 7-day tracker, shows a bounce despite not moving a single point for a full week!
That 3-day job approval number portends the future.
More below.
Check out these Job Approval trends for Obama:
09/1-3/2012 45 48
09/2-4/2012 47 47
09/3-5/2012 49 45
09/4-6/2012 52 43 (today's release)
BOOM. That's huge. From -3 a few days ago to +9 today!
Meanwhile, the head-to-head race is now:
Obama 48
Romney 45
That's after days and days and days of zero movement. It was stuck at 47 O and 46 R.
Tomorrow is going to be sweet! Why? Because as the older days fall off the 7-day average, numbers more like those in the approval chart above are going to replace them.
From Gallup:
This uptick in these two indicators stands in contrast to tracking during the Republican Convention, during which there was no discernible bounce on the ballot tracking. Gallup does not track other measures on Romney that would be comparable to the job approval figure for Obama.
This is big. Get the word out.
11:34 AM PT: Sure, kos goes and makes the exact same points and posts it while I'm writing. Guess that's why he gets the big bucks and all I got is a lousy tip jar.