I came very close to the BREAKING header but resisted temptation.
I'll be posting updates to this diary (and this one) over the next hour or so as I plug in the data, but here's the bottom line:
--If you look at Week 13 on the spreadsheet, you'll see that ACASignups.net had 2,137,630 private enrollments as of 12/31.
--According to the official December HHS report, the total number of exchange-based private enrollments was 2,153,421 as of 12/28.
--ACASignups.net was, therefore, appx. 99.2% accurate (ok, knock 0.2% off for the missing 3 days of data...call it 99% even).
I have no idea why the HHS report doesn't include the last 3 days of the year; perhaps a lack of personnel during the holidays? Will post something about this if/when I find out what the deal was there.
OK, I've plugged the individual state numbers into the spreadsheet; here's what it looks like:
AL 28,663
AK 3,356
AZ 27,943
AR 12,763
CA 498,794
CO 50,125
CT 36,000
DE 3,273
DC 3,043
FL 158,030
GA 58,611
HI 2,192
ID 19,922
IL 61,111
IN 30,443
IA 7,475
KA 14,242
KY 33,036
LA 17,548
ME 13,704
MD 18,272
MA 5,428
MI 75,511
MN 19,420
MS 8,045
MO 33,138
MT 13,135
NE 14,464
NV 22,566
NH 11,446
NJ 34,751
NM 7,688
NY 156,902
NC 107,778
ND 2,624
OH 39,955
OK 14,999
OR 18,337
PA 81,320
RI 9,803
SC 24,116
SD 3,194
TN 36,250
TX 118,532
UT 18,633
VT 15,015
VA 44,676
WA 68,058
WV 4,889
WI 40,752
WY 3,450
TOTAL: 2,153,421
UPDATE x2: OK, I've plugged in the state-by-state percentages for the CMS projections over at the actual site. Will try to fill it in here later but it's a lot of work just doing it once and the code is wonky.
UPDATE x3: I've now updated the spreadsheet to include BOTH the 12/28 HHS numbers for all states AS WELL AS the post-12/28 updates that I've received from some states.
Result? The actual current tally is now at least 2.34 Million.
UPDATE x4: OK, I've gone ahead and plugged in the
Medicaid/CHIP numbers as well, and the results are, well...confusing, to put it mildly.
See the detailed write-up here. The short version is, I'm not sure where about 1.24 million of the Medicaid total comes from.
Update x5: OK, this may seem a little petty, but I can't help but be somewhat amused/irked that the New York Times has FINALLY decided to jump into the pool.
In the words of John "Die Hard" McClaine, Welcome to the party, pal!