Today is the big day, the day of the final vote in the Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016.
In the previous diaries, the readers have done the selection of the politicians that will be here today. The people voted 15 politicians clearly from a big list of 91 prominent politicians in the following steps, necessary taking into account the formats of Daily Kos diaries.
Here you can see the links to the previous diaries of this little series:
CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus I
CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus II
CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus III
CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus IV
CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus V
CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus VI
Every vote has been counted until the moment of the publication of this diary. Just in this moment the polls get closed in order qualify for the Final Vote.
PROVISIONAL RESULTS
The people finally qualified for the Final vote is:
1 Kamala Harris
2 Hilda Solis
3 Xavier Becerra
4 John Chiang
5 Jackie Speier
6 Judy Chu
7 Raul Ruiz
8 Gavin Newsom
9 Antonio Villaraigosa
10 Betty Yee
11 Mark Takano
12 Adam Schiff
13 John Garamendi
14 Mike Honda
15 Eric Garcetti
I think the readers selected a strong group of potential candidates, with all the strongest people in.
The bench selected for today's final vote is very interesting. As example the geographical distribution is very interesting. There are 6 politicians from North California, 5 from the San Francisco area (Harris, Speier, Newsom, Yee and Honda), and Garamendi from the Sacramento area, while there are 9 from the South California, all around the Los Angeles area (Solis, Becerra, Chiang, Ruiz, Chu, Villaraigosa, Takano, Schiff and Garcetti).
It is time to see who can emerge with stronger popular support here in Daily Kos. Only if many people vote this will be a good Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016.
Thank you so much to all who liked and supported this work, these days.
If you visited not the first edition of the diary, let me to quote the entire explanation, including also the data for Robert Reich.
The race for the replacement of long term veteran senator B Boxer begins after the announcement of her retirement. It is time of looking forward, and this is what this little series of diaries want to do.
Yes, this will be a little series of diaries. It will have the purpose to find the most popular potential candidate for CA-Sen 2016 here in Daily Kos. We read hundreds of opinions about many people, but we know not really who would be our favourite. If you like to take part this can become something like the Daily Kos Caucus for the race.
To do it we need to take into account some limitations of the formats to vote in the diaries for Daily Kos. As example, we can not have all the list of potential candidates in at the same time in a single diary. There are 15 options to vote in the polls of our diaries, then we will need to have the proces in some steps, in some differente diaries.
To be in this caucus, there is not need to apply. There is not need to express interest in a bid or something like this. Everyone of the highest level politicians of the state will be in the caucus except:
- It will not be the potential candidates of the same age of B Boxer or older.
- It will not be former officers affected by proved serious scandals.
- It will not be the politicians that moved later to other states.
Also it will be included some not elected people but sounds for the race, and are included in the lists of potential candidates here in Daily Kos Elections or in the wikipedia article about the race.
Then we will have a list with all the people that can have higher political profile (active or retired) and with also the people that sounds (even if declined), and we will distribute them as randomly as possible in some diaries for the people can vote. From every diary, we will select the Top-2, the 2 people with more votes in every poll, and between the rest the three people with more votes, to advance to a final diary with all the most loved potential candidates.
If you get interested, keep one eye in this series in the following days. My intention is to publish a diary every day, in the following week.
Obviously not all the people voting here will be from California, I hope you feel not bad because of it. There is nothing bad about to see what the people think here in Daily Kos about this race. And I have not a way to limit it to the people from California.
This is the list of the people included, ordered primarily in groups by the importance of the political offices that they old now or in the past, and secondarily by the data of birth from younger to older.
01. Janet Ann Napolitano NY AZ CA 1957 Secretary of Homeland Security 09-13. Governor of Arizona 03-09. AZ Attorney General 99-03.
02. Hilda Lucia Solis: CA 1957 Secretary of Labor 09-13. USHRep 01-09.
03. Steven Chu: MO CA 1948 Secretary of Energy 09-13.
04. Robert Bernard Reich: PA MA CA 1946 Secretary of Labor 93-97. Lost for Governor of MA 02.
05. John E Bryson: CA 1943 Secretary of Commerce 11-12.
06. Christina D Romer: IL CA 1958 Chairperson of the Council of Economic Advisers 09-10.
07. Aida M Alvarez: PRIC NY CA 1950 Administrator of the Small Business Administration 97-01.
08. Eric Michael Swallwell: IA CA 1980 USHRep 13- .
09. Peter R Aguilar: CA 1979 USHRep 15- . Lost for House 12.
10. Raul Ruiz: MEXI CA 1972 USHRep 13- .
11. Ted W Lieu: TAIW CA 1969 USHRep 15- . Lost for CA Attorney General 10.
12. Linda T Sanchez: CA 1969 USHRep 03- .
13. Norma J Torres: GUAT CA 1965 USHRep 15- .
14. Amerish Babulal "Ami" Bera CA 1965 USHRep 13- . Lost for House 10.
15. Jared William Huffman: MO CA 1964 USHRep 13- .
16. Antonio "Tony" Cardenas: CA 1963 USHRep 13- . Lost for Los Angeles city council 02.
17. Juan C Vargas: CA 1961 USHRep 13- . Lost for House 92, 96 and 06.
18. Mark Allan Takano: CA 1960 USHRep 13- . Lost for House 92 and 94.
19. Adam B Schiff: MA CA 1960 USHRep 01- .
20. Loretta Sanchez: CA 1960 USHRep 97- . Lost for Anaheim city council 94.
21. Scott H Peters: OH CA 1958 USHRep 13- . Lost for San Diego city attorney 08.
22. Xavier Becerra: CA 1958 USHRep 93- . Lost for Mayor of Los Angeles 01.
23. Bradley J Sherman: CA 1954 USHRep 97- .
24. Karen Ruth Bass: CA 1953 USHRep 11.-
25. Judy May Chu: CA 1953 USHRep 09- . Lost for CA state assembly 94 and 98.
26. Julia Brownley: SC CA 1952 USHRep 13- .
27. James Manuel Costa: CA 1952 USHRep 05- .
28. Mark James DeSaulnier: MA CA 1952 USHRep 15- . Lost for House 10.
29. Janice Kay Hahn: CA 1952 USHRep 11- . Lost for House 98. Lost for Lieutenant Governor of CA 10. Lost for Los Angeles city council 93.
30. Gerald McNerney: NM CA 1951 USHRep 07- . Lost for House 04.
31. Michael C Thompson: CA 1951 USHRep 99- .
32. K L Jacqueline "Jackie" Speier: CA 1950 USHRep 08- . Lost for House 79. Lost for Lieutenant Governor of CA 06.
33. Zoe Lofgren: CA 1947 USHRep 95- .
34. Barbara Jean Lee: TX CA 1946 USHRep 98- .
35. John Raymond Garamendi: CA 1945 USHRep 09- . Deputy Secretary of Interior 95-98. Lieutenant Governor of CA 07-09. CA State Insurance Commissioner 91-95 03-07. Lost for Governor 82, 94 and 10. Lost for CA State Controller 86.
36. Doris Okada Matsui: AZ CA 1944 USHRep 05- .
37. Susan A Davis: MA CA 1944 USHRep 01- .
38. Anna Georges Eshoo: CT CA 1942 USHRep 93- . Lost for House 88.
39. Samuel S Farr: CA 1941 USHRep 93- .
40. Michael Makoto Honda: CA 1941 USHRep 01- .
41. Lucille Roybal-Allard: CA 1941 USHRep 93- .
42. Alan S Lowenthal: NY CA 1941 USHRep 13- .
43. Gavin Christopher Newsom: CA 1967 Lieutenant Governor of CA 11- . Lost for Governor 10.
44. Alejandro "Alex" Padilla: CA 1973 CA Secretary of State 15- .
45. Kamala Devi Harris: CA 1964 CA Attorney General 11- .
46. John Chiang: NY CA 1962 CA State Controller 07-15. CA State Treasurer 15- .
47. David Evan Jones: PA CA 1962 CA Insurance Commissioner 11- .
48. Betty T Yee: CA 1957 CA State Controller 15- .
49. Thomas A Torlakson: CA 1949 CA Superintendent of Public Instruction 11- .
50. Dennis A Cardoza: CA 1959 USHRep 03-12.
51. Calvin M Dooley: CA 1954 USHRep 91-05.
52. Ellen O'Kane Tauscher: NJ CA 1951 USHRep 97-09.
53. Richard Henry Lehman: CA 1948 USHRep 83-95. Lost for House 94.
54. Joe Baca: NM CA 1947 USHRep 99-13. Lost for House 12 and 14.
55. Jane Lakes Harman: NY CA 1945 USHRep 93-99 01-11. Lost for Governor 98.
56. George Miller III: CA 1945 USHRep 75-15.
57. Lynn Schenk: NY CA 1945 USHRep 93-95. Lost for House 94. Lost for Supervisor San Diego County 84.
58. Meldon Edises Levine: CA 1943 USHRep 83-93. Lost for Senate 92.
59. Victor Herbert Fazio: MA CA 1942 USHRep 79-99.
60. Gloria Negrete McLeod: CA 1941 USHRep 13-15. Lost for S Bernardino Cty Board of Sup 14.
61. Howard Lawrence Berman: CA 1941 USHRep 83-13. Lost for House 12.
62. Cruz Miguel Bustamante: CA 1953 Lieutenant Governor of CA 99-07. Lost for Governor (recall) 03. Lost for CA State Insurance Commissioner 06.
63. Steven Paul Westly: CA 1957 CA State Controller 03-07. Lost for Governor 06. Lost for Chair CA Democratic Party 89.
64. Debra Bowen: IL CA 1955 CA Secretary of State 07-15. Lost for House 11.
65. Philip Nicholas Angelides: CA 1953 CA State Treasurer 99-07. Lost for Governor 06. Lost for CA State Treasurer 94. Lost for Sacramento City Council 73 and 77.
66. Jack T O'Connell: NY CA 1951 CA State Superintendent of PI 03-11.
67. Kathleen Connell: CO CA 1947 CA State Controller 95-03. Lost for Mayor of Los Angeles 01.
68. Kathleen Brown: CA 1946 CA State Treasurer 91-95. Lost for Governor 94.
69. William Westwood Lockyer: CA 1941 CA State Treasurer 07-15. CA Attorney General 99-07.
70. John A Perez: CA 1969 Lost for CA State Controller 14. (former CA Assembly Speaker)
71. Fabian Nuñez: CA 1966 Lost for CA State Treasurer 14. Lost for State Senate 10. (former CA Assembly Speaker)
72. Toni G Atkins: CA 1962 (CA Assembly Speaker)
73. Robert M Hertzberg: CA 1954 Lost for Los Angeles Mayor 05. (former CA Assembly Speaker, State Senator)
74. Antonio Ramon Villaraigosa: CA 1953 Lost for Mayor of Los Angeles 01. (former CA Assembly Speaker and former Mayor of Los Angeles)
75. Herb Wesson: OH CA 1951 (former CA Assembly Speaker)
76. Eric Michael Garcetti: CA 1971 (Mayor of Los Angeles)
77. Samuel T Liccardo: CA 19?? (Mayor of San Jose)
78. Kevin Maurice Johnson: CA 1966 (Mayor of Sacramento)
79. Heather Fargo: CA 1952 Lost for Mayor of Sacramento 08. Lost for Sacramento Cty Board of Sup 94. (former Mayor of Sacramento)
80. Edwin Mah Lee: WA CA 1952 (Mayor of San Francisco)
81. Ronald R Gonzalez: CA 1951 (former Mayor of San Jose)
82. James Kenneth Hahn: CA 1950 Lost for Mayor of Los Angeles 05. (former Mayor of Los Angeles)
83. Daniel K Whitehurst: CA 1948 Lost for Senate 82. Lost for Mayor of Fresno 00. (former Mayor of Fresno)
84. Charles Rufus "Chuck" Reed: CA 1948 (former Mayor of San Jose)
85. Thomas McEnery: CA 1945 Lost for House 94. (former Mayor of San Jose)
86. Karen Humphrey: CA 19?? Lost for Mayor of Fresno 93 (former Mayor of Fresno)
87. Kevin DeLeon: CA 1966 (State Senator President Pro-Tempore)
88. Darrell Steven Steinberg: CA 1959 (former State Senator President Pro-Tempore)
89. Jesus Gloria Molina: CA 1948 (former Los Angeles Cty Board of Sup)
90. Sheryl Kara Sandberg: DC CA 1969
91. Thomas Fahr Steyer: NY CA 1957
This llist is a bid to have in all the significant potential candidates for this senate seat. The list want to give to all the people that be liked, the chance of being voted. With 91 persons in the list, if everyone would have the same chance of being elected, every candidate would have a 1.11% of probability. It is obvious that many people of the list have literally a 0% (rounded) of probability of being elected. But what I would dislike most is to leave out some person with a 2% or a 5% of probability of being elected. Also, if you see someone that you personally dislike or even hate, take not care too much, and let the most loved people emerge with the readers votes, even you can make the right people emerge with your own vote. This is more about your favourite people than about the people that you can dislike.
Then take part in this "Daily Kos Caucus" for CA-Sen 2016, and remember that the 2 most voted people in every diary plust the 3 with more votes between the rest will advance to the final vote in the final diary of the series. A high number of votes will make the result a lot better.