Jon Ralston is saying this weekend in early voting was a Democratic blowout:
A roundup of what happened yesterday:
KTNV:
Bottom line: After two days, the raw vote lead in urban Nevada for the Democrats is close to 21,000. (Most rural counties closed on Sundays, and those numbers, while they favor Republicans, are tiny in comparison.)
Clark County numbers for Sunday are again disastrous for Republicans, with another record day for turnout:
Total: 31,000
D: 16,000
R: 9,119
That's 52 percent to 29 percent. Dems are 9 points above registration, Rs are at registration. That's also slightly above the 2012 second day, which was 50-33.
Two day Clark totals, with mail ballots counted so far (no mail on Sunday):
Total: 84,468
D: 43,672 (52 percent)
R: 25,022 (30 percent)
Actual registration: 43-29, so Democrats are 9 points above their registration and Republicans are 1 above theirs.
That's an 18,000-plus raw vote lead. It was 13,000 in 2012. But there are 150,000 more voters this cycle, so it's slightly better proportionally.
It's a very blue wave so far, and Republicans have to be worried, especially with those Washoe numbers below and how deep the first day went down the ballot.
More details later....
Democrats also hold a 2200 vote advantage in Washoe County.
And these numbers are very bad for Republicans:
Early vote only
88,331 statewide
46,062 Dem (52%)
26,240 Rep (29%)
Total votes cast (includes absentees)
111,061 statewide
55,001 Dem (50%)
35,516 Rep (32%)
I’ll update as Jon Ralston posts information throughout the day, but it is looking like Democratic GOTV is working hard in Nevada, and that is great news for Team Blue and bad news for Team Red.
Monday, Oct 24, 2016 · 10:17:45 PM +00:00
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pistolSO
Dun Dun Dun….looks like it might be Trumpendämmerung in Nevada:
Detailed numbers from Clark after two days – yes, it’s early, but warning beacons for the GOP abound -- show possibility of deep blue wave:
Totals after all ballots tallied in Clark:
EV+AB: 85,662
Dems: 44,227
GOP: 25,440
Rest: 15,985
That is 51.6 percent to 29.6 percent. 18,787 raw votes difference between the parties
Dems+8 over registration, GOP at registration
Not much different than 2012, slightly better.
CD3: Registration is 37-35, Democratic. Dem lead is 47-33. 5,000 raw-vote lead for Democrats. Up from 3,000 after first day. 36,478 votes cast. If this continues, it’s still going to be 0-for-Tark.
CD4: Registration is 44-29, Democratic, in Clark part of district, which is four-fifths plus of the vote. Dem lead is 54-29. 6,500 raw vote lead, up from 4,000 after first day. 27,757 votes cast. Who did you have in mind for your chief of staff, Rep. Kihuen?
SD5 (Woodhouse): Registration is 39-34, Democrats. Dem lead is 49-32. 1,200 raw vote lead, up from 800 after first day. 7,227 total votes cast. Hard to Buck this trend.
SD6 (Seaman-Cannizzaro): Registration is 41-34, Democrats. Dem lead is 49-33. 1,400 raw vote lead, up from 1,000 after first day. 8,227 total votes cast. Need a sea change to keep this GOP.
Add to this that apparently Trump campaign won’t return Washoe County GOP’s phone calls:
And...and...Clark County turnout is still “big league”.
Say Auf Wiedersehen to the Trumpenfuhrer