A little deeper into the poll:
Clinton has a 67% to 27% lead among non-white voters. More specifically, she has a 65% to 30% lead among Hispanic voters, a group that makes up over one-fifth of the state's likely electorate. Trump holds a 56% to 35% lead among white voters, including a 64% to 26% lead among white men and a 66% to 28% lead among white voters without a college degree. On the other hand, the race is extremely tight among white women (47% Trump to 44% Clinton) and white college graduates (45% Trump to 43% Clinton).
Clinton has a sizable 52% to 42% edge among voters who report having already submitted their ballots during the state's early voting period, while Trump leads by 49% to 41% among those who have yet to vote. Currently, 4-in-10 of those polled say they have already voted. Observers expect more than half of all Arizona voters will cast their ballots prior to November 8 th .
The Clinton edge in early voting is good. Clinton only being a little behind with white women and white college graduates also gives her something to work with.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from October 21 to 24, 2016 with 401 Arizona residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of ± 4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
Not crazy about that small sample size or the relatively large MoE but I think this poll gives Clinton something to hope about. It seems Clinton is doing well as well as Arizona early voting so I prefer to be optimistic.