Interesting that the New York Times Upshot was updated at 3:59pm ET and the chance of a Hillary Clinton win has moved up another 1% to 80% or as the Upshot puts it, tRump win is the same probability that an NFL field goal kicker misses a 42-yard field goal. The Upshot aggregation has increased 10% since September 27th, and reflects the fallout from the first debate, and I am assuming some of the post debate disaster the tRump campaign has been dealing with over the last week. It would seem the most likely cause of the movement is the number of very positive polls that have been hitting over the last couple of days.
The link to the Upshot is here: www.nytimes.com/...