According to polling data from Huffington Post and Real Clear Politics, if the Democratic nominee were Hillary Clinton, she will lose the electoral college vote. This is because she will lose the states of Iowa, Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina. Bernie Sanders, on the other hand, would win those states, and the Presidency. Remember elections are decided by the electoral college not the popular vote. BTW, Bernie is winning the popular vote too.
In many ways we would be better off if the next primary were held in North Carolina, than South Carolina. North Carolina has more swing voters than South Carolina does. In South Carolina, the Republicans are unreconstructed grand children of the confederate elites, and the Democrats are the descendants of their former slaves. They are both hard core partisans. Neither of these demographics are swing voters.
North Carolina was never as hard core Confederate, during the civil war, as South Carolina. South Carolina was the first state to secede. North Carolina had more non slave owning whites, and was more reluctant about secession. It almost split in two like Virginia did. Before the war West Virginia was a part of Virginia proper. Modern North Carolina adds to this population with economic transplants from Yankee states. Elections are addition not subtraction. Hillary is not an attractive candidate to swing voters. Hillary simply can’t put together a winning coalition, because she turns off working class voters. They don’t trust her, and think she is beholden to Wall Street.
Black voters will never gain control of Southern states unless the silly antagonism toward the white working class ends. The ancestors of black voters were not oppressed by these voters. They were oppressed by the the wealthy whites and their financiers on Wall Street.
On Edit: I would also point out that the states Hillary loses, and that Bernie wins are states Obama won in 2008, so Hillary is not winning Obama’s 2008 coalition. She is losing the white and hispanic members of his coalition to Bernie Sanders. Furthermore, with the exception of Carolinas, none of these states were even members of the Confederacy, so these aren’t voters driving around with Stars and Bars pickups, nor did most of them join the Klan. That is just pedantic stereotyping, and only serves the right.