A Siena College poll released today shows Hillary Clinton continues to hold a commanding 21-point lead over Bernie Sanders in the northern state of New York. New York has 291 pledged delegates. The April 19th primary is closed to democrats only.
The poll included 368 registered democrats and was conducted between February February 28 and March 3, 2016. It used a probability sample of landline and cell phone numbers. Note: the margin of error (MOE) for polling of the democratic voters was 6.2, which places the accuracy slightly below a 95% confidence interval. (The overall MOE was 4.1.)
Full results: www.capitalnewyork.com/...
RESULTS
Clinton vs Sanders: 55-34 (+21 Clinton)
Demographics
Clinton led among the following demographics:
Men and women
Liberals, moderates, and conservatives
Union and nonunion households
NYC, suburbs, and upstate voters
White, black, and Latino voters
Catholic, Protestant, and Jewish voters
People with incomes <50k, 50k-100k, and >100k
All ages older than 34 years
Sanders led among the following demographics:
Ages 18-34
“Other” religion
Favorability/Unfavorability
Among all 800 voters surveyed: Clinton, 48/48; Sanders, 52/39.
Clinton’s favorability gap was better than Sanders’ among democrats, but Sanders’ gap was better than Clinton’s among republicans and independents, giving him a better overall favorability gap.
Worthless Head-to-Head Hypotheticals
Both candidates polled better among the broader electorate than all republican contenders. Sanders beats Trump 57/33, and Clinton beats Trump 57/34. Both candidates came out on top even when Bloomberg was added to the voting options.
Take-away
Clinton continues to poll well in New York among nearly all demographics and is on track to win the state’s primary in April. The more diverse demographics of the state give her an advantage over Sanders.