Even if Bernie holds on for a small win in Michigan (still Too Close To Call as I post)…...we will still see Hillary increase her pledged delegate lead tonight by more than 10% — from 199 to well over 220. Because of this…..look at that far right column:
And that is the arithmetic behind the delegate race….winning big states by small margins (Bernie’s best case) doesn’t make a dent when you lose other big(gish) states by blowout margins (Hillary’s reality).