Just days after their last poll, NBC/WSJ/Marist are back with another poll of the Empire State and find Hillary Clinton’s lead *increasing* 3 points to 17, 57-40. This is, coincidentally, her exact margin of victory over Barack Obama in 2008. It would net her somewhere in the region of 40 delegates, around the same as Sanders’ wins in Idaho, Alaska, Hawaii, Wisconsin and Wyoming combined.
Word of caution, as always; the increase is just about within the poll’s 4.0 margin of error. Nevertheless, of the two pollsters that have polled New York more than once since mid-March, Quinnipiac and now Marist, both have found Hillary’s lead slightly increasing. The Sanders campaign may still hope for some momentum (And Siena suggest that they have at least made gains since early February) but if there’s any in the polls right now, it isn’t for their candidate.
Full cross-tabs and details when they’re up; there may be something here with the WSJ but as a non-subscriber I can’t see. If someone lets me know, I’ll add details to the diary.
www.wsj.com/...
I have seen this, which is a very interesting demographic point. FWIW this would be consistent with what can be judged from Florida, the only other major state I’ve seen people break out the Jewish vote.
On the whole, New York polling has shown remarkable stability, clustering at around a 14 point lead which has if anything slightly increased in the last two weeks, in a must-win state for the Sanders camp.