www.mcall.com/…
*47-38 in the 2 way
*40-32-14-5 in the 4 way
*Poll Date: Sept 12-16 — This would encompass the entirety of HRC’s post pneumonia incident + Barack Obama’s appearance + HRC’s return to the trail on Sept. 15.
In PA, at least, the third parties appear to be screwing both candidates with a difference of net -1 against Clinton. After PBO spoke this week and with everyone else blanketing the state, we could win PA by double digits in a 4 way.
*She leads 81-11 among Dems with 8% undecided. Trump is up 71-10 among GOPers with 19% undecided.
*She is even with Trump among white voters and men; -1 among all voters without college degrees; +16 among those with college degrees.Leads by 30 points in SE PA. +18 among women.
I think Clinton has real room to grow in PA among millennials and with a good debate performance she will make inroads among white females without a college degree. I think these two are the movable votes here and she has potential advantages with each group.
Trump could grow with GOP voters. However, I suspect most of that 19% are college educated white Republicans who may be unlikely to go with Trump, especially if HRC demonstrates her bona fides for the job in the debates.